LKP Motor Lublin vs Zaglebie Lubin
Match details. Ekstraklasa, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Motor Lublin Arena, a neutral ground. The referee is Mateusz Jenda.
What's at stake. LKP Motor Lublin are 12th on 12 points after 11 games, level on points with Cracovia Krakow, level on points with Jagiellonia. A win would take them above Cracovia Krakow. Zaglebie Lubin are 7th on 18 points after 11 games, level on points with Wisla Krakow, 1 point clear of Piast Gliwice. A win would take them above Wisla Krakow.
Team news. LKP Motor Lublin's line-up is confirmed. Zaglebie Lubin's line-up is confirmed.
Form. LKP Motor Lublin have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L L. In this competition LKP Motor Lublin have gone W W D L L L. Zaglebie Lubin have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W. In this competition Zaglebie Lubin have gone W L L W W D.
The numbers. LKP Motor Lublin score 1.3 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. LKP Motor Lublin average 16.9 shots (5.5 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. Zaglebie Lubin score 1.1 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Zaglebie Lubin average 13.8 shots (4.6 on target), 3.2 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 42% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last four meetings LKP Motor Lublin have won three, drawn one and lost none. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 20 Mar 2026, it finished LKP Motor Lublin 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin: LKP Motor Lublin had 9 shots to 9, 47% of the ball.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Zaglebie Lubin are the stronger side on form and the table, but the meetings favour LKP Motor Lublin. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.
The case against. Zaglebie Lubin's record still gives them 39% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.
The read. LKP Motor Lublin or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Zaglebie Lubin are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour LKP Motor Lublin. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.39, 80% on the records (LKP Motor Lublin: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 10; Zaglebie Lubin: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: LKP Motor Lublin 1-1 Zaglebie Lubin (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).