Match details. 1st Division, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at GSP Stadium, Nicosia. The referee is Panagiotis Hadjigeorghiou.
What's at stake. AC Omonia Nicosia are 4th on 11 points after 5 games, 1 point behind AEL, 1 point clear of Pafos. A win would take them above AEL. Olympiakos Nicosia are 10th on 4 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Omonia 29is Maiou, level on points with Nea Salamis. A win would take them above Omonia 29is Maiou.
Form. AC Omonia Nicosia have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D. Olympiakos Nicosia have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D D D.
The numbers. AC Omonia Nicosia score 1.5 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. AC Omonia Nicosia average 14.5 shots (6.7 on target), 8.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Olympiakos Nicosia score 1.5 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Olympiakos Nicosia average 12.0 shots (4.8 on target), 5.8 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings AC Omonia Nicosia have won seven, drawn one and lost two. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, AC Omonia Nicosia won four. The last time they met, on 15 Mar 2026, it finished AC Omonia Nicosia 5-0 Olympiakos Nicosia: AC Omonia Nicosia had 13 shots to 13, 52% of the ball, one yellow card.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 79% against the records' 50%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No firm call: AC Omonia Nicosia are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make AC Omonia Nicosia the likelier winners; AC Omonia Nicosia are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AC Omonia Nicosia; the meetings favour AC Omonia Nicosia. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.17, 85% on the records (AC Omonia Nicosia: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5; Olympiakos Nicosia: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10). The safer one: Olympiakos Nicosia Under 1.5 Goals at 1.13 (87%). Full cover: Olympiakos Nicosia Under 1.5 Goals at 1.13. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (AC Omonia Nicosia are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (AC Omonia Nicosia are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: AC Omonia Nicosia 3-0 Olympiakos Nicosia (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).