Match details. Torneo Federal A. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time.
Form. CA Bartolome Mitre have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L L. CA Boca Unidos Corrientes have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W D.
The numbers. CA Bartolome Mitre score 0.3 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and seven games without a goal. CA Bartolome Mitre average 8.3 shots (4.0 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game. CA Boca Unidos Corrientes score 1.5 and concede one a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. CA Boca Unidos Corrientes average 10.0 shots (4.2 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 22% against the records' 60%.
The read. No firm call: CA Boca Unidos Corrientes are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. CA Boca Unidos Corrientes are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CA Boca Unidos Corrientes. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: CA Bartolome Mitre 1-1 CA Boca Unidos Corrientes (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).