TATON

15:00Sat 17 Oct

HEM

Tonbridge Angels vs Hemel Hempstead Town

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. National League South. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

Form. Tonbridge Angels have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W D. Hemel Hempstead Town have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D D.

The numbers. Tonbridge Angels score 1.3 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Tonbridge Angels average 5.5 corners and 3.2 cards a game. Hemel Hempstead Town score 0.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Hemel Hempstead Town average 2.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game.

The case against. Hemel Hempstead Town's record still gives them 36% to win.

The read. Tonbridge Angels to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Tonbridge Angels the likelier winners; Tonbridge Angels are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Tonbridge Angels are a clear winner, no Unders); Tonbridge Angels Over 0.5 goals (Hemel Hempstead Town's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Tonbridge Angels 1-0 Hemel Hempstead Town (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Tonbridge Angels or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.30

TON 6 of 8 (75%) · HEM 4 of 5 (80%)84.1%

Tonbridge Angels: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Hemel Hempstead Town: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 81% · Tonbridge Angels: only games against sides at Hemel Hempstead Town's level · Hemel Hempstead Town: only games against sides at Tonbridge Angels's level

HEMEL HEMPSTEAD TOWN GOALS

Hemel Hempstead Town Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES

1.50

TON 3 of 5 (60%) · HEM 5 of 8 (62%)78.5%

Hemel Hempstead Town scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 away · Tonbridge Angels conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · Hemel Hempstead Town: only games against sides at Tonbridge Angels's level · Tonbridge Angels: only games against sides at Hemel Hempstead Town's level

Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (Tonbridge Angels are a clear winner - no Unders); Tonbridge Angels Over 0.5 goals (Hemel Hempstead Town's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Tonbridge Angels or draw and under 2.5 goals (Tonbridge Angels are a clear winner - no Unders); Tonbridge Angels or draw and under 3.5 goals (Tonbridge Angels are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (Tonbridge Angels are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Tonbridge Angels are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 10.8%

Tonbridge Angels goals →

Hemel Hempstead Town goals ↓

0-08%

1-011%

2-09%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.6%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

TONBRIDGE ANGELSWLLWDLWWDL1.40 PPG

HEMEL HEMPSTEAD TOWNDWLDDDDLLW1.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

TONBRIDGE ANGELS HOMExHEMEL HEMPSTEAD TOWN AWAY

1.82SCORED A GAME0.911.00CONCEDED A GAME0.9120%CLEAN SHEETS30%5.50CORNERS A GAME2.803.17CARDS A GAME1.80

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.55POINTS A GAME1.36+0.82GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00-2.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.611LEAGUE GAMES11

Tonbridge Angels: the quality side - a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

78%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

38%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

97%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

TONBRIDGE ANGELS OR DRAW

32%

NO · 80/85

HEMEL HEMPSTEAD TOWN OR DRAW

74%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TONBRIDGE ANGELSxHEMEL HEMPSTEAD TOWN

5GAMES61.40SCORED A GAME1.171.60CONCEDED A GAME1.003.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS83%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS33%60%BOTH SCORE33%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Tonbridge Angels have scored in 70% of their games.

Hemel Hempstead Town have scored in 70% of their games.

Tonbridge Angels kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Hemel Hempstead Town kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards