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PORTUGAL - TACA DE PORTUGAL
Academica de Coimbra crestADACA
20:15Sat 17 Oct
AMAAmarante FC crestAF

Academica de Coimbra vs Amarante FC

CLASS D
THE READ

Match details. Taca de Portugal, Round of 64. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 20:15 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio EFAPEL Cidade de Coimbra.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Academica de Coimbra have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L L. In this competition Academica de Coimbra have gone W. Amarante FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L W. In this competition Amarante FC have gone W.

The numbers. Academica de Coimbra score two and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Academica de Coimbra average 9.0 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Amarante FC score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Amarante FC average 6.3 shots (3.0 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last three meetings Academica de Coimbra have won none, drawn two and lost one. None of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 12 Apr 2026, it finished Academica de Coimbra 1-1 Amarante FC.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; three of the last three meetings went under 2.5.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Academica de Coimbra or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Academica de Coimbra or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Academica de Coimbra or Both Teams Score (no result call). Predicted score: Academica de Coimbra 1-1 Amarante FC (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.13
ACA 6 of 10 (60%) · AMA 5 of 5 (100%)82.9%
Academica de Coimbra: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Amarante FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 3 of 3
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.28
ACA 9 of 10 (90%) · AMA 4 of 5 (80%)79.5%
Academica de Coimbra: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Amarante FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 2 of 3
ACADEMICA DE COIMBRA GOALS
Academica de Coimbra Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.21
ACA 8 of 10 (80%) · AMA 3 of 5 (60%)69.5%
Academica de Coimbra scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Amarante FC conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 2 of 3
AMARANTE FC GOALS
Amarante FC Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.37
ACA 3 of 5 (60%) · AMA 6 of 10 (60%)67.1%
Amarante FC scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 away · Academica de Coimbra conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 3 of 3
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.23
ACA 9 of 10 (90%) · AMA 3 of 5 (60%)73.8%
Academica de Coimbra: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Amarante FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 2 of 3 · on half-time scores
Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.37
ACA 10 of 10 (100%) · AMA 4 of 5 (80%)69%
Academica de Coimbra: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Amarante FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 1 of 3 · on half-time scores
Left off the list: Academica de Coimbra or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Academica de Coimbra or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Academica de Coimbra or Both Teams Score (no result call); 2nd Half - Double Chance: Academica de Coimbra or Draw (no result call); Academica de Coimbra (Draw No Bet) (no result call); Academica de Coimbra or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 11.7%
Academica de Coimbra goals →
Amarante FC goals ↓
0-05%
1-07%
2-06%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.5%
0-16%
1-112%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-25%
1-28%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.5%
0-32%
1-34%
2-33%
3-32%
4-30.7%
5-30.2%
0-40.8%
1-41%
2-41%
3-40.6%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.3%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10
ACADEMICA DE COIMBRADWWWWLLLWW1.90 PPG
AMARANTE FCWWLLDWLDWL1.40 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ACADEMICA DE COIMBRA HOMExAMARANTE FC AWAY
2.00SCORED A GAME1.201.40CONCEDED A GAME1.1040%CLEAN SHEETS40%29%FAILED TO SCORE29%9.00CORNERS A GAME5.002.40CARDS A GAME2.33
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.50POINTS A GAME0.71-0.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.57+3.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.21.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.06LEAGUE GAMES7
Academica de Coimbra: the quality side - more points a game, more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
71%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
46%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
96%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
ACADEMICA DE COIMBRA OR DRAW
68%
NO · 80/85
AMARANTE FC OR DRAW
51%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
ACADEMICA DE COIMBRAxAMARANTE FC
5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.001.80CONCEDED A GAME1.402.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.4100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%20%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 3
ACADEMICA DE COIMBRA 0 · 0%DRAW 2AMARANTE FC 1 · 33%
2 of 3BOTH TEAMS SCORED
2 of 3OVER 1.5 GOALS
0 of 3OVER 2.5 GOALS
0 of 3OVER 3.5 GOALS
2023-10-22Academica de Coimbra 0 – 1 Amarante FC
2026-03-29Academica de Coimbra 1 – 1 Amarante FC
2026-04-12Academica de Coimbra 1 – 1 Amarante FC
TRENDS
Academica de Coimbra have scored in 80% of their games.
Amarante FC have scored in 80% of their games.
Academica de Coimbra kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Amarante FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headcornerscards
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