FC Penafiel vs Leca FC
Match details. Taca de Portugal, Round of 64. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Municipal 25 de Abril, Penafiel.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. FC Penafiel have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W W. In this competition FC Penafiel have gone W. Leca FC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W. In this competition Leca FC have gone W.
The numbers. FC Penafiel score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. FC Penafiel average 3.4 cards a game. Leca FC score 2.2 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: FC Penafiel are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour Leca FC.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FC Penafiel 2-1 Leca FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).