Kagera Sugar vs Polisi Tanzania FC
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Kaitaba Stadium, Bukoba.
What's at stake. Kagera Sugar are 15th on 5 points after 7 games, level on points with Pamba Jiji, level on points with Fountain Gate. A win would take them above Pamba Jiji. Polisi Tanzania FC are 7th on 10 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Singida Black Stars, level on points with Mbeya City. A win would take them above Singida Black Stars.
Form. Kagera Sugar have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L L. Polisi Tanzania FC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L W.
The numbers. Kagera Sugar score 0.9 and concede 0.9 a game in their last seven at home, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Kagera Sugar average 9.0 shots (4.4 on target), 3.4 corners and 1.6 cards a game. Polisi Tanzania FC score 1.7 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Polisi Tanzania FC average 11.5 shots (4.6 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Kagera Sugar have won two, drawn four and lost two. Three of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Kagera Sugar won one and three were drawn. The last time they met, on 6 Feb 2023, it finished Kagera Sugar 0-0 Polisi Tanzania FC.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 39%. Five of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.18, 74% on the records (Kagera Sugar: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 7; Polisi Tanzania FC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10). Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Polisi Tanzania FC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Polisi Tanzania FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Kagera Sugar 1-1 Polisi Tanzania FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).