SVSCV

15:00Sat 17 Oct

LEI

SC Vianense vs Leixoes SC

CLASS D

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Taca de Portugal, Round of 64. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. SC Vianense have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D W. In this competition SC Vianense have gone W W. Leixoes SC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W W. In this competition Leixoes SC have gone W.

The numbers. SC Vianense score 3.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. SC Vianense average 10.5 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Leixoes SC score 1.6 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Leixoes SC average 12.5 shots (5.5 on target), 5.2 corners and 4.0 cards a game, with 55% of the ball.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: SC Vianense 2-1 Leixoes SC (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.29

SCV 5 of 5 (100%) · LEI 3 of 5 (60%)78.3%

SC Vianense: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Leixoes SC: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75%

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.37

SCV 5 of 5 (100%) · LEI 4 of 5 (80%)83.3%

SC Vianense: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Leixoes SC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.1%

SC Vianense goals →

Leixoes SC goals ↓

0-06%

1-08%

2-07%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-17%

1-112%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.6%

0-25%

1-28%

2-26%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-32%

1-33%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.2%

0-40.7%

1-41%

2-40.8%

3-40.4%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

SC VIANENSELWDWLWDWWD1.80 PPG

LEIXOES SCWWLWLWWDWL1.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SC VIANENSE HOMExLEIXOES SC AWAY

2.20SCORED A GAME1.701.00CONCEDED A GAME1.0040%CLEAN SHEETS40%33%FAILED TO SCORE29%10.50CORNERS A GAME5.251.50CARDS A GAME3.83

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

80%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

50%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

98%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

SC VIANENSE OR DRAW

72%

NO · 80/85

LEIXOES SC OR DRAW

69%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TRENDS

SC Vianense have scored in 70% of their games.

Leixoes SC have scored in 80% of their games.

SC Vianense kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Leixoes SC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards