Atletico Clube de Portugal vs FC Vizela
Match details. Taca de Portugal, Round of 64. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Atletico Clube de Portugal have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W. In this competition Atletico Clube de Portugal have gone W W. FC Vizela have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W W. In this competition FC Vizela have gone W.
The numbers. Atletico Clube de Portugal score 2.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. FC Vizela score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 21 Oct 2023, it finished Atletico Clube de Portugal 0-1 FC Vizela.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 29% against the records' 50%.
The read. No firm call: Atletico Clube de Portugal are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Atletico Clube de Portugal the likelier winners; Atletico Clube de Portugal are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Atletico Clube de Portugal. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Atletico Clube de Portugal or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Atletico Clube de Portugal 2-1 FC Vizela (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).