Match details. Super Liga, Regular Season - 15. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at Sheriff Arena, Tiraspol.
What's at stake. Sheriff Tiraspol are 1st on 31 points after 14 games, 4 points clear of Zimbru. FC Real Sireti are 7th on 10 points after 14 games, 6 points behind Politehnica UTM, 5 points clear of CSF Bălți. FC Real Sireti have nothing left to play for.
Form. Sheriff Tiraspol have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D L. In this competition Sheriff Tiraspol have gone W W W D L W. FC Real Sireti have won one, drawn six and lost three of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L D. In this competition FC Real Sireti have gone W L L L D D.
The numbers. Sheriff Tiraspol score 2.8 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. FC Real Sireti score 0.9 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Sheriff Tiraspol have won one, drawn one and lost none. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 16 Aug 2026, it finished Sheriff Tiraspol 1-1 FC Real Sireti.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 90% against the records' 45%.
The read. No firm call: Sheriff Tiraspol are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make Sheriff Tiraspol the likelier winners; Sheriff Tiraspol are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Sheriff Tiraspol.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Sheriff Tiraspol 1-0 FC Real Sireti (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).