Uxbridge FC vs AFC Hornchurch
Match details. FA Cup. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. Uxbridge FC have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. AFC Hornchurch have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W L.
The numbers. Uxbridge FC score 2.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last eight at home, with four clean sheets. Uxbridge FC average 12.2 shots (4.2 on target), 5.6 corners and 1.4 cards a game. AFC Hornchurch score 0.9 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. AFC Hornchurch average 9.0 shots (2.1 on target), 5.2 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 19% against the records' 62%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The read. No firm call: Uxbridge FC are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make Uxbridge FC the likelier winners; Uxbridge FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Uxbridge FC.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Uxbridge FC 1-0 AFC Hornchurch (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).