Sheffield United vs Derby County
Match details. Championship, Regular Season - 12. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time. It is played at Bramall Lane, Sheffield.
What's at stake. Sheffield United are 11th on 15 points after 11 games, level on points with Blackburn, level on points with Millwall. A win would take them above Blackburn. Derby County are 23rd on 6 points after 11 games, 2 points behind Burnley, 2 points clear of Preston. A win would take them above Burnley.
Team news. Sheffield United are without F. Seriki (knee injury), J. Shackleton (health problems), F. Seriki (knee injury), J. Shackleton (health problems). Derby County are without P. Agyemang (achilles tendon injury), E. Cashin (inactive), M. Clarke (calf injury), C. Forsyth (knee injury), S. Langas (injury), D. Murkin (hamstring injury).
Form. Sheffield United have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L. Derby County have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D L.
The numbers. Sheffield United score 1.5 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Sheffield United average 10.2 shots (3.6 on target), 3.3 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 43% of the ball. Derby County score 0.8 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Derby County average 12.8 shots (3.9 on target), 5.5 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Sheffield United have won six, drawn none and lost two. Four of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Sheffield United won three and Derby County won one. The last time they met, on 2 May 2026, it finished Sheffield United 2-1 Derby County: Sheffield United had 15 shots to 17, 49% of the ball, seven yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The case against. Derby County's record still gives them 29% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The read. Sheffield United to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Sheffield United the likelier winners; Sheffield United are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Sheffield United; the meetings favour Sheffield United. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: Sheffield United or Draw (1UP) at 1.19, 72% on the records (Sheffield United scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3; led or was unbeaten in 6 of 9). Backup: Sheffield United Over 0.5 Goals at 1.19. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Sheffield United are a clear winner, no Unders); Derby County Under 1.5 goals (Sheffield United's own games don't back it (4 of 9)); Sheffield United or draw and under 3.5 goals (Sheffield United are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Sheffield United 1-0 Derby County (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).