Match details. Monaco host Freiburg at Stade Louis-II in the UEFA Conference League, League Stage - 2. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct at 20:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Monaco are 9th on 3 points after 1 game, level on points with FC Lugano and HNK Hajduk Split. A win would take them above FC Lugano. Freiburg are 7th on 3 points after 1 game, level on points with St. Truiden and FC Lugano, and a win would take them above St. Truiden.
Form. Monaco have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, earning 2.3 points a game. Their last five read L W D W D. Freiburg have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, with 2.5 points a game. Their last five are L W W D W.
The numbers. Monaco score 1.9 and concede one a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. They average 10.5 shots (4.3 on target), 3.3 corners and 1.8 cards a game with 55% of the ball. Freiburg score 2.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. They average 16.0 shots (7.4 on target), 6.7 corners and 1.5 cards a game with 63% of the ball.
The case against. Freiburg's record still gives them 38% to win.
The read. Monaco or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Freiburg are the stronger side on form and the table, while their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Over 0.5 first-half goals (the signs point different ways); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Monaco 2-1 Freiburg (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Monaco or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MON 9 of 10 (90%) · FRE 4 of 5 (80%)85%
Monaco: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Freiburg: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%
Monaco or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES
1.20
MON 9 of 10 (90%) · FRE 4 of 5 (80%)84.2%
Monaco: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Freiburg: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%
Monaco or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.26
MON 4 of 5 (80%) · FRE 9 of 10 (90%)76.7%
Monaco scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Freiburg trailed or failed to win in 3 of 5 away
Monaco or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.34
MON 8 of 10 (80%) · FRE 4 of 5 (80%)74.2%
Monaco: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Freiburg: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%
Monaco 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
1.56
MON 3 of 5 (60%) · FRE 8 of 10 (80%)66.7%
Monaco scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Freiburg trailed in 3 of 5 away
Monaco or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
1.67
MON 8 of 10 (80%) · FRE 2 of 5 (40%)57.5%
Monaco: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Freiburg: the bet landed in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 50%
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.21
MON 8 of 10 (80%) · FRE 4 of 5 (80%)75.2%
Monaco: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Freiburg: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%
MONACO GOALS
Monaco Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.21
MON 9 of 10 (90%) · FRE 4 of 5 (80%)80.3%
Monaco scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Freiburg conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%
FREIBURG GOALS
Freiburg Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.32
MON 5 of 5 (100%) · FRE 8 of 10 (80%)63.9%
Freiburg scored in 5 of 5 away · Monaco conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.22
MON 9 of 10 (90%) · FRE 4 of 5 (80%)86.7%
Monaco: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Freiburg: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores
CORNERS
Over 7.5 CornersIN CODES
1.43
MON 7 of 10 (70%) · FRE 4 of 5 (80%)75%
Monaco's games: over 7.5 corners in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Freiburg's games: over 7.5 corners in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75%
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 first-half goals (the numbers (68%) and the records (90%) are 22 points apart, and nothing settles it); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.1%
Monaco goals →
Freiburg goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21.0%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.6%
1-40.8%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
MONACOLWDWDWWWWW2.30 PPG
FREIBURGLWWDWWWWWW2.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
MONACO HOMExFREIBURG AWAY
1.90SCORED A GAME3.001.00CONCEDED A GAME1.1020%CLEAN SHEETS20%0%FAILED TO SCORE0%3.33CORNERS A GAME6.671.80CARDS A GAME1.50
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
2.00POINTS A GAME2.17+0.57GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.50+0.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.01.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.07LEAGUE GAMES6
Freiburg: the quality side - a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
77%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
64%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
92%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
MONACO OR DRAW
82%
OKAY · 80/85
FREIBURG OR DRAW
50%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
MONACOxFREIBURG
5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME2.201.20CONCEDED A GAME1.002.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%80%BOTH SCORE60%3.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–8.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Monaco have scored in 90% of their games.
Freiburg have scored in 100% of their games.
Monaco kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Freiburg kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards