INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUE

FJFKJ

17:45Thu 22 Oct

BRI

BRI

FK Jablonec vs Brighton

CLASS A

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THE BETBANKER · NOT IN CODES

DRAW NO BET

Class A

FJv

BRI

Brighton (Draw No Bet)

FK Jablonec v Brighton

International Clubs -… · 17:45

1.06odds

94%book

+2edge

1/1angles

THE READ

Match details. FK Jablonec host Brighton in the UEFA Conference League, League Stage - 2. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 17:45 Lagos time at Stadion Střelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou. S. Kringstad is the referee.

What's at stake. FK Jablonec are 23rd on 0 points after 1 game, 1 point behind Riga and level on points with FK Crvena Zvezda. A win would take them above Riga. Brighton are 1st on 3 points after 1 game, level on points with FC Copenhagen.

Form. FK Jablonec have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, averaging 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first, are L L W W D. Brighton have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, taking 2.5 points a game. Their last five read W W W W W.

The numbers. FK Jablonec score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. They average 12.4 shots (4.8 on target), 3.3 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 43% of the ball. Brighton score 3.4 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with seven clean sheets. They average 17.5 shots (6.5 on target), 10.3 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 75% of the ball.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.

The read. Brighton to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Brighton the likelier winners for me. Brighton are the stronger side on form and the table, and both teams' records favour Brighton.

The bets. Best bet: Brighton (Draw No Bet) at 1.09, 92% on the records (Brighton won 8 of 9 (draws left out); FK Jablonec lost 5 of 8 (draws left out)). Backup: Brighton to Win Either Half: Yes at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Brighton Over 1.5 goals (FK Jablonec's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (Brighton are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Brighton are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: FK Jablonec 0-2 Brighton (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Brighton to Win Either Half: YesBACKUPPAGE ONLY

1.14

FKJ 10 of 10 (100%) · BRI 7 of 10 (70%)85%

Brighton: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FK Jablonec: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Brighton to WinIN CODES

1.22

FKJ 8 of 10 (80%) · BRI 5 of 10 (50%)83.5%

Brighton won 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FK Jablonec lost 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 66% · each game weighed by who it was against

Brighton 1UPIN CODES

1.11

FKJ 5 of 5 (100%) · BRI 8 of 10 (80%)80.4%

Brighton scored first 4 of last 5, led in 5 · led in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FK Jablonec trailed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · each game weighed by who it was against

1X2 - 2UP: BrightonIN CODES

1.21

FKJ 5 of 5 (100%) · BRI 8 of 10 (80%)77%

Brighton scored first 4 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 5 · led by 2 or won in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FK Jablonec trailed by 2 or lost in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · each game weighed by who it was against

1st Half Result or Match Result: BrightonPAGE ONLY

1.14

FKJ 8 of 10 (80%) · BRI 6 of 10 (60%)70.6%

Brighton: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FK Jablonec: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

FK JABLONEC GOALS

FK Jablonec Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES

1.17

FKJ 7 of 10 (70%) · BRI 8 of 10 (80%)79.2%

FK Jablonec scored under 1.5 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Brighton conceded under 1.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · each game weighed by who it was against

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.26

FKJ 7 of 10 (70%) · BRI 9 of 10 (90%)80.3%

FK Jablonec: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Brighton: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Left off the list: Brighton Over 1.5 goals (FK Jablonec's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (Brighton are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Brighton are a clear winner - no Unders); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–2 11.6%

FK Jablonec goals →

Brighton goals ↓

0-03%

1-02%

2-00.8%

3-00.2%

4-00.0%

5-00.0%

0-18%

1-16%

2-12%

3-10.5%

4-10.1%

5-10.0%

0-212%

1-28%

2-23%

3-20.8%

4-20.1%

5-20.0%

0-311%

1-38%

2-33%

3-30.7%

4-30.1%

5-30.0%

0-47%

1-45%

2-42%

3-40.5%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-54%

1-53%

2-51%

3-50.3%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

FK JABLONECLLWWDLWLDL1.10 PPG

BRIGHTONWWWWWWDLWW2.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FK JABLONEC HOMExBRIGHTON AWAY

1.20SCORED A GAME3.401.40CONCEDED A GAME0.7030%CLEAN SHEETS70%14%FAILED TO SCORE33%3.29CORNERS A GAME10.331.56CARDS A GAME2.10

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.40POINTS A GAME2.29+0.10GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+2.57+4.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+6.31.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.610LEAGUE GAMES7

Brighton: the quality side - a top-five league club v a smaller league, better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

62%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

63%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

74%

NO · 85/90

FK JABLONEC OR DRAW

48%

NO · 80/85

BRIGHTON OR DRAW

63%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FK JABLONECxBRIGHTON

5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME3.201.20CONCEDED A GAME0.202.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE20%3.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.412.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.4

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

FK Jablonec have scored in 80% of their games.

Brighton have scored in 100% of their games.

FK Jablonec kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Brighton kept a clean sheet in 70% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards