Crvena Zvezda vs Copenhagen
Match details. Crvena Zvezda host Copenhagen in the UEFA Conference League, League Stage - 2. Kick-off is set for Thu 22 Oct at 17:45 Lagos time. The match is at Stadion Rajko Mitić, Beograd. R. M. Petrescu is the referee.
What's at stake. Crvena Zvezda are 24th on 0 points after 1 game, level on points with FK Jablonec and Ajax. A win would take them above FK Jablonec. Copenhagen are 2nd on 3 points after 1 game, level on points with Brighton and Trabzonspor. A win would take them above Brighton.
Form. Crvena Zvezda have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five ended W L W W W, though in this competition they have gone L. Copenhagen have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five run is D W L W W.
The numbers. Crvena Zvezda score 2.4 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets. They average 17.4 shots (6.1 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 58% of the ball. Copenhagen score 2.5 and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets. They average 13.9 shots (5.5 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 45% of the ball.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 6 Aug 2019, it finished Crvena Zvezda 1-1 Copenhagen. Crvena Zvezda had 12 shots to 3, held 45% of the ball, and received five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game. Still, their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.
The case against. Copenhagen's record still gives them 46% to win. Not everything agrees on goals, as their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. Crvena Zvezda or the draw. An open game. Both teams' records favour Copenhagen. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.21, 85% on the records (Crvena Zvezda: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10; Copenhagen: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.20. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Crvena Zvezda Over 0.5 goals (Copenhagen's own games don't back it (4 of 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Crvena Zvezda 2-1 Copenhagen (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).