Match details. FC Kairat Almaty host Panathinaikos in the UEFA Conference League, League Stage - 2. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct at 15:30 Lagos time at Ortalyq stadıon, Almaty. The referee is A. Lindhout.
What's at stake. FC Kairat Almaty are 18th on 1 point after 1 game, level on points with FC Nordsjaelland and Heart Of Midlothian. A win would take them above FC Nordsjaelland. Panathinaikos sit 11th on 3 points after 1 game, level on points with HNK Hajduk Split and Brann. A win would take them above HNK Hajduk Split.
Form. FC Kairat Almaty have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, averaging 1.6 points a game. Their last five read W D W L L. Panathinaikos have won nine, drawn none and lost one of their last ten, taking 2.7 points a game. Their last five read W W L W W.
The numbers. FC Kairat Almaty score two and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. They average 4.0 shots (2.0 on target), 1.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Panathinaikos score 2.2 and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. They average 16.2 shots (6.5 on target), 7.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 57% of the ball.
The case against. FC Kairat Almaty's record still gives them 33% to win. Not everything agrees on goals, as their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records also put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The read. Panathinaikos to win. A draw is live. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Panathinaikos the likelier winners. Panathinaikos are the stronger side on form and the table, and both teams' records favour Panathinaikos.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.39, 68% on the records (FC Kairat Almaty: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Panathinaikos: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10). The safer one: FC Kairat Almaty Under 1.5 Goals at 1.28 (80%). Backup: Panathinaikos or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Panathinaikos Over 0.5 goals (FC Kairat Almaty's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); FC Kairat Almaty Over 0.5 goals (Panathinaikos's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Panathinaikos or draw and under 3.5 goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: FC Kairat Almaty 0-1 Panathinaikos (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).