Jong FC Utrecht vs Roda JC Kerkrade
Jong FC Utrecht scored in 4 of 5 at home · Roda JC Kerkrade conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6 · Jong FC Utrecht: only games against sides at Roda JC Kerkrade's level · Roda JC Kerkrade: only games against sides at Jong FC Utrecht's level
Match details. Eerste Divisie, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Sportcomplex Zoudenbalch, Utrecht.
What's at stake. Jong FC Utrecht are 20th on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with Jong AZ. A win would take them above Jong AZ. Roda JC Kerkrade are 14th on 0 points after 0 games, level on points with NAC Breda, level on points with Vitesse. A win would take them above NAC Breda.
Form. Jong FC Utrecht have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W D. In this competition Jong FC Utrecht have gone L L W W D L. Roda JC Kerkrade have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D W. In this competition Roda JC Kerkrade have gone D L W D W D.
The numbers. Jong FC Utrecht score 1.8 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Jong FC Utrecht average 15.4 shots (4.5 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 47% of the ball. Roda JC Kerkrade score 0.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Roda JC Kerkrade average 10.6 shots (4.1 on target), 3.9 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 47% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Jong FC Utrecht have won one, drawn two and lost seven. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, one was drawn and Roda JC Kerkrade won three. The last time they met, on 22 Dec 2025, it finished Jong FC Utrecht 1-3 Roda JC Kerkrade: Jong FC Utrecht had 12 shots to 10, 60% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their xG points to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%; seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Jong FC Utrecht's record still gives them 24% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their xG points to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%.
The read. Roda JC Kerkrade to win. An open game. Roda JC Kerkrade are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Roda JC Kerkrade; the meetings favour Roda JC Kerkrade. Seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Roda JC Kerkrade at 1.28, 76% on the records (Roda JC Kerkrade unbeaten in 3 of 5 away; Jong FC Utrecht failed to win 4 of 5 at home). Full cover: Jong FC Utrecht Over 0.5 Goals at 1.32. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Roda JC Kerkrade or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Roda JC Kerkrade Over 0.5 goals (Roda JC Kerkrade's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Jong FC Utrecht 1-2 Roda JC Kerkrade (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).