Match details. 1. Lig, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at Esenler Stadium, Istanbul. The referee is Burak Kamalak.
What's at stake. Esenler Erokspor are 16th on 9 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Pendikspor, 2 points clear of Ümraniyespor. A win would take them above Pendikspor. Mardin 1969 Spor are 5th on 18 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Batman Petrolspor, 1 point clear of Keçiörengücü. A win would take them above Batman Petrolspor.
Form. Esenler Erokspor have won one, drawn six and lost three of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D L. Mardin 1969 Spor have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L W.
The numbers. Esenler Erokspor score 0.6 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. Esenler Erokspor average 11.0 shots (3.1 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 58% of the ball. Mardin 1969 Spor score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Mardin 1969 Spor average 10.6 shots (2.9 on target), 4.9 corners and 3.4 cards a game, with 41% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Esenler Erokspor have won one, drawn one and lost none. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 26 Feb 2022, it finished Esenler Erokspor 3-0 Mardin 1969 Spor.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.33, 76% on the records (Esenler Erokspor: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10; Mardin 1969 Spor: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Under 2.5 first-half goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Esenler Erokspor 1-1 Mardin 1969 Spor (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).