FSFAJ

14:15Mon 19 Oct

PAY

Fajr Sepasi FC vs Paykan FC

CLASS D

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Pro League, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 14:15 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Fajr Sepasi FC are 11th on 10 points after 8 games, level on points with Nassaji Mazandaran, 1 point clear of Paykan. A win would take them above Nassaji Mazandaran. Paykan FC are 12th on 9 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Fajr Sepasi, 1 point clear of Malavan. A win would take them above Fajr Sepasi.

Form. Fajr Sepasi FC have won two, drawn four and lost two of their last eight, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D D. In this competition Fajr Sepasi FC have gone W L L D D W. Paykan FC have won two, drawn three and lost three of their last eight, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L D. In this competition Paykan FC have gone D L W L D W.

The numbers. Fajr Sepasi FC score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game over their last eight, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Paykan FC score 0.8 and concede 0.9 a game over their last eight, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal.

Head to head. In the last five meetings Fajr Sepasi FC have won one, drawn three and lost one. One of the five went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, three were drawn and Paykan FC won one. The last time they met, on 1 Nov 2025, it finished Fajr Sepasi FC 2-2 Paykan FC.

The case against. Paykan FC's record still gives them 24% to win.

The read. Fajr Sepasi FC or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Paykan FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 19%. Four of the last five meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Fajr Sepasi FC 1-1 Paykan FC (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Fajr Sepasi FC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FAJ 7 of 8 (88%) · PAY 7 of 8 (88%)84.7%

Fajr Sepasi FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Paykan FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 4 of 5 · Fajr Sepasi FC: only games against sides at Paykan FC's level · Paykan FC: only games against sides at Fajr Sepasi FC's level

Double Chance: Fajr Sepasi FC or DrawLEANPAGE ONLY

1.39

FAJ 6 of 8 (75%) · PAY 6 of 8 (75%)68.6%

Fajr Sepasi FC unbeaten in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Paykan FC failed to win 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 5 · Fajr Sepasi FC: only games against sides at Paykan FC's level · Paykan FC: only games against sides at Fajr Sepasi FC's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FAJ 7 of 8 (88%) · PAY 8 of 8 (100%)97.7%

Fajr Sepasi FC: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Paykan FC: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 5 of 5 · Fajr Sepasi FC: only games against sides at Paykan FC's level · Paykan FC: only games against sides at Fajr Sepasi FC's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FAJ 7 of 8 (88%) · PAY 7 of 8 (88%)90.2%

Fajr Sepasi FC: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Paykan FC: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 5 of 5 · Fajr Sepasi FC: only games against sides at Paykan FC's level · Paykan FC: only games against sides at Fajr Sepasi FC's level

Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.17

FAJ 7 of 8 (88%) · PAY 7 of 8 (88%)86%

Fajr Sepasi FC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Paykan FC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 4 of 5 · Fajr Sepasi FC: only games against sides at Paykan FC's level · Paykan FC: only games against sides at Fajr Sepasi FC's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.53

FAJ 6 of 8 (75%) · PAY 7 of 8 (88%)66.6%

Fajr Sepasi FC: under 2.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Paykan FC: under 2.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 4 of 5 · Fajr Sepasi FC: only games against sides at Paykan FC's level · Paykan FC: only games against sides at Fajr Sepasi FC's level

FAJR SEPASI FC GOALS

Fajr Sepasi FC Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES

1.36

FAJ 5 of 8 (62%) · PAY 5 of 8 (62%)58.2%

Fajr Sepasi FC scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Paykan FC conceded in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · H2H 4 of 5 · Fajr Sepasi FC: only games against sides at Paykan FC's level · Paykan FC: only games against sides at Fajr Sepasi FC's level

HALVES

1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FAJ 7 of 8 (88%) · PAY 6 of 8 (75%)75.9%

Fajr Sepasi FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Paykan FC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 3 of 5 · on half-time scores · Fajr Sepasi FC: only games against sides at Paykan FC's level · Paykan FC: only games against sides at Fajr Sepasi FC's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.7%

Fajr Sepasi FC goals →

Paykan FC goals ↓

0-010%

1-011%

2-08%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-19%

1-114%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.7%

4-30.2%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.7%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 8

FAJR SEPASI FCDDWDDLLW1.25 PPG

PAYKAN FCLDWDLWLD1.12 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FAJR SEPASI FC HOMExPAYKAN FC AWAY

0.75SCORED A GAME0.751.25CONCEDED A GAME0.8838%CLEAN SHEETS38%38%FAILED TO SCORE62%

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO

–

138 OF 151

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.25POINTS A GAME1.12-0.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.12–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.08LEAGUE GAMES8

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

45%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

16%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

81%

NO · 85/90

FAJR SEPASI FC OR DRAW

88%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

PAYKAN FC OR DRAW

51%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FAJR SEPASI FCxPAYKAN FC

5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME0.601.80CONCEDED A GAME0.602.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.260%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS0%60%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 5

FAJR SEPASI FC 1 · 20%DRAW 3PAYKAN FC 1 · 20%

3 of 5BOTH TEAMS SCORED

4 of 5OVER 1.5 GOALS

1 of 5OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 5OVER 3.5 GOALS

2021-11-19Fajr Sepasi FC 1 – 0 Paykan FC

2022-02-28Fajr Sepasi FC 1 – 1 Paykan FC

2024-10-09Fajr Sepasi FC 0 – 2 Paykan FC

2025-02-25Fajr Sepasi FC 1 – 1 Paykan FC

2025-11-01Fajr Sepasi FC 2 – 2 Paykan FC

TRENDS

Fajr Sepasi FC failed to score in 38% of their games.

Paykan FC failed to score in 62% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague table