SLSDL

16:00Sun 18 Oct

NAX

SD Logrones vs Naxara CD

CLASS E

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Segunda Federacion. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.

Form. SD Logrones have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D D. Naxara CD have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L L.

The numbers. SD Logrones score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. SD Logrones average 8.2 shots (2.5 on target), 5.2 corners and 3.8 cards a game. Naxara CD score 0.6 and concede 2.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Naxara CD average 7.0 shots (2.7 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.0 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Naxara CD are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour SD Logrones. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Naxara CD or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Naxara CD or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); SD Logrones Over 0.5 Goals (SD Logrones's own games don't back it (4 of 8)). Predicted score: SD Logrones 1-1 Naxara CD (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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SDL 8 of 8 (100%) · NAX 5 of 5 (100%)95.5%

SD Logrones: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Naxara CD: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · SD Logrones: only games against sides at Naxara CD's level · Naxara CD: only games against sides at SD Logrones's level

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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SDL 8 of 8 (100%) · NAX 5 of 5 (100%)91.4%

SD Logrones: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Naxara CD: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · SD Logrones: only games against sides at Naxara CD's level · Naxara CD: only games against sides at SD Logrones's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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SDL 8 of 8 (100%) · NAX 3 of 5 (60%)88.6%

SD Logrones: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Naxara CD: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · SD Logrones: only games against sides at Naxara CD's level · Naxara CD: only games against sides at SD Logrones's level

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SDL 5 of 8 (62%) · NAX 4 of 5 (80%)72.7%

SD Logrones: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Naxara CD: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 61% · SD Logrones: only games against sides at Naxara CD's level · Naxara CD: only games against sides at SD Logrones's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

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SDL 3 of 8 (38%) · NAX 2 of 5 (40%)52%

SD Logrones: both scored in 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Naxara CD: both scored in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 34% · SD Logrones: only games against sides at Naxara CD's level · Naxara CD: only games against sides at SD Logrones's level

HALVES

1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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SDL 8 of 8 (100%) · NAX 5 of 5 (100%)100%

SD Logrones: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Naxara CD: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · on half-time scores · SD Logrones: only games against sides at Naxara CD's level · Naxara CD: only games against sides at SD Logrones's level

1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SDL 7 of 8 (88%) · NAX 3 of 5 (60%)77.1%

SD Logrones: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Naxara CD: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 84% · on half-time scores · SD Logrones: only games against sides at Naxara CD's level · Naxara CD: only games against sides at SD Logrones's level

Left off the list: Naxara CD or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Naxara CD or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); SD Logrones Over 0.5 Goals (SD Logrones's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Naxara CD Over 0.5 Goals (Naxara CD's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Naxara CD or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.4%

SD Logrones goals →

Naxara CD goals ↓

0-09%

1-010%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.8%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

SD LOGRONESWLWWLDDLLL1.10 PPG

NAXARA CDLWLWLLLLDW1.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SD LOGRONES HOMExNAXARA CD AWAY

0.90SCORED A GAME0.801.50CONCEDED A GAME1.6020%CLEAN SHEETS40%5.25CORNERS A GAME4.673.75CARDS A GAME2.00

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.40POINTS A GAME0.80-1.40GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.20–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–0.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.85LEAGUE GAMES5

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

76%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

50%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

92%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

SD LOGRONES OR DRAW

68%

NO · 80/85

NAXARA CD OR DRAW

57%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

SD LOGRONESxNAXARA CD

5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME0.402.20CONCEDED A GAME1.603.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.0100%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

SD Logrones have scored in 60% of their games.

Naxara CD have scored in 60% of their games.

SD Logrones kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Naxara CD kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards