Match details. Segunda Federacion. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 15:30 Lagos time.
Form. CF Calamocha have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L. Pena Sport FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W L.
The numbers. CF Calamocha score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CF Calamocha average 2.0 corners and 5.0 cards a game. Pena Sport FC score 0.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Pena Sport FC average 3.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
The case against. CF Calamocha's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. Pena Sport FC to win. Pena Sport FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Pena Sport FC.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Pena Sport FC Over 0.5 Goals (Pena Sport FC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)). Predicted score: CF Calamocha 0-1 Pena Sport FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).