Match details. China League 1. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time.
Form. Nanjing City have won none, drawn four and lost six of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L. Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC have won seven, drawn three and lost none of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D W.
The numbers. Nanjing City score 0.6 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Nanjing City average 4.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC score 1.7 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC average 3.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 27% against the records' 64%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%.
The read. No firm call: Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC the likelier winners; Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Nanjing City 1-1 Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).