Match details. Segunda Federacion. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 10:00 Lagos time.
Form. CF Lorca Deportiva have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D L. CD Atletico Baleares have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D L D.
The numbers. CF Lorca Deportiva score 0.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CF Lorca Deportiva average 10.4 shots (3.6 on target), 4.3 corners and 3.2 cards a game. CD Atletico Baleares score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. CD Atletico Baleares average 10.2 shots (3.7 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CF Lorca Deportiva 1-1 CD Atletico Baleares (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFL 5 of 5 (100%) · CDA 5 of 5 (100%)95%
CF Lorca Deportiva: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · CD Atletico Baleares: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · CF Lorca Deportiva: only games against sides at CD Atletico Baleares's level · CD Atletico Baleares: only games against sides at CF Lorca Deportiva's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFL 5 of 5 (100%) · CDA 5 of 5 (100%)87.5%
CF Lorca Deportiva: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · CD Atletico Baleares: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · CF Lorca Deportiva: only games against sides at CD Atletico Baleares's level · CD Atletico Baleares: only games against sides at CF Lorca Deportiva's level
CD ATLETICO BALEARES GOALS
CD Atletico Baleares Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFL 4 of 5 (80%) · CDA 3 of 5 (60%)66.5%
CD Atletico Baleares scored in 4 of 5 away · CF Lorca Deportiva conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · CD Atletico Baleares: only games against sides at CF Lorca Deportiva's level · CF Lorca Deportiva: only games against sides at CD Atletico Baleares's level
HALVES
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFL 5 of 5 (100%) · CDA 5 of 5 (100%)100%
CF Lorca Deportiva: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · CD Atletico Baleares: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · on half-time scores · CF Lorca Deportiva: only games against sides at CD Atletico Baleares's level · CD Atletico Baleares: only games against sides at CF Lorca Deportiva's level
1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFL 4 of 5 (80%) · CDA 3 of 5 (60%)73.3%
CF Lorca Deportiva: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · CD Atletico Baleares: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · CF Lorca Deportiva: only games against sides at CD Atletico Baleares's level · CD Atletico Baleares: only games against sides at CF Lorca Deportiva's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFL 5 of 5 (100%) · CDA 5 of 6 (83%)90%
CF Lorca Deportiva's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 at home · CD Atletico Baleares's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · CF Lorca Deportiva: only games against sides at CD Atletico Baleares's level · CD Atletico Baleares: only games against sides at CF Lorca Deportiva's level
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–112.9%
CF Lorca Deportiva goals →
CD Atletico Baleares goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-24%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21.0%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
CF LORCA DEPORTIVALLDLDLDWLW0.90 PPG
CD ATLETICO BALEARESWDLWLDLDWD1.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CF LORCA DEPORTIVA HOMExCD ATLETICO BALEARES AWAY
0.80SCORED A GAME1.401.10CONCEDED A GAME1.4020%CLEAN SHEETS20%4.30CORNERS A GAME4.833.20CARDS A GAME2.50
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.33POINTS A GAME1.00+0.17GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.50+3.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.26LEAGUE GAMES6
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
68%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
50%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
94%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
CF LORCA DEPORTIVA OR DRAW
91%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
CD ATLETICO BALEARES OR DRAW
65%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CF LORCA DEPORTIVAxCD ATLETICO BALEARES
5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.600.80CONCEDED A GAME2.001.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.640%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%40%BOTH SCORE100%5.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–6.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
CF Lorca Deportiva have scored in 50% of their games.
CD Atletico Baleares have scored in 90% of their games.
CF Lorca Deportiva kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
CD Atletico Baleares kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards