Match details. USL League One. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 00:30 Lagos time.
Form. Fort Wayne FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D D. Sarasota Paradise have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W D.
The numbers. Fort Wayne FC score 1.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Fort Wayne FC average 5.6 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Sarasota Paradise score 1.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Sarasota Paradise average 5.4 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
The case against. Sarasota Paradise's record still gives them 38% to win.
The read. Fort Wayne FC or the draw. An open game. Fort Wayne FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Fort Wayne FC 2-1 Sarasota Paradise (8% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Fort Wayne FC or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES
1.13
FOR 4 of 5 (80%) · SAR 5 of 5 (100%)91.2%
Fort Wayne FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Sarasota Paradise: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Fort Wayne FC: only games against sides at Sarasota Paradise's level · Sarasota Paradise: only games against sides at Fort Wayne FC's level
FORT WAYNE FC GOALS
Fort Wayne FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.14
FOR 4 of 5 (80%) · SAR 5 of 5 (100%)76.4%
Fort Wayne FC scored in 4 of 5 at home · Sarasota Paradise conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Fort Wayne FC: only games against sides at Sarasota Paradise's level · Sarasota Paradise: only games against sides at Fort Wayne FC's level
SARASOTA PARADISE GOALS
Sarasota Paradise Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.35
FOR 5 of 5 (100%) · SAR 3 of 5 (60%)74%
Sarasota Paradise scored in 5 of 5 away · Fort Wayne FC conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · Sarasota Paradise: only games against sides at Fort Wayne FC's level · Fort Wayne FC: only games against sides at Sarasota Paradise's level
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–17.8%
Fort Wayne FC goals →
Sarasota Paradise goals ↓
0-07%
1-07%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.7%
5-00.2%
0-18%
1-113%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-27%
1-29%
2-26%
3-23%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-34%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.5%
4-40.2%
5-40.0%
0-50.4%
1-50.5%
2-50.3%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
FORT WAYNE FCWWDDDLWLWW1.80 PPG
SARASOTA PARADISEWLWWDDWDWL1.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FORT WAYNE FC HOMExSARASOTA PARADISE AWAY
1.53SCORED A GAME1.451.23CONCEDED A GAME1.5570%BOTH SCORED90%30%CLEAN SHEETS10%5.57CORNERS A GAME5.413.00CARDS A GAME2.07
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.41POINTS A GAME1.54+0.24GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.62+1.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-5.21.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.017LEAGUE GAMES13
Fort Wayne FC: the quality side - more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
89%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
69%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
69%
NO · 85/90
FORT WAYNE FC OR DRAW
64%
NO · 80/85
SARASOTA PARADISE OR DRAW
76%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (17 and 13 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
FORT WAYNE FCxSARASOTA PARADISE
9GAMES81.67SCORED A GAME1.251.44CONCEDED A GAME1.123.1GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.489%OVER 1.5 GOALS75%67%OVER 2.5 GOALS50%44%BOTH SCORE75%5.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–13.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Fort Wayne FC have scored in 90% of their games.
Sarasota Paradise have scored in 100% of their games.
Fort Wayne FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Sarasota Paradise kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards