THE READ
Match details. Liga de Ascenso. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time.
Form. AD Rosario have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W L. Santa Cruz PFA have won two, drawn none and lost eight of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W.
The numbers. AD Rosario score 1.4 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. AD Rosario average 8.4 shots (4.0 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.9 cards a game. Santa Cruz PFA score 1.1 and concede 2.2 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Santa Cruz PFA average 4.0 corners and 3.3 cards a game.
The case against. Santa Cruz PFA's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. AD Rosario to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make AD Rosario the likelier winners; AD Rosario are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AD Rosario. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%.
The bets. Best bet: AD Rosario or Draw at 1.09, 80% on the records (AD Rosario unbeaten in 6 of 9; Santa Cruz PFA failed to win 8 of 10). Backup: AD Rosario or Both Teams Score at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: AD Rosario Win & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); AD Rosario Over 1.5 goals (AD Rosario's own games don't back it (4 of 9)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: AD Rosario 2-1 Santa Cruz PFA (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
AD Rosario or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADR 8 of 9 (89%) · SAN 10 of 10 (100%)94.4%
AD Rosario: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Santa Cruz PFA: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Santa Cruz PFA's level · Santa Cruz PFA: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level
AD Rosario or Both Teams ScoreBACKUPIN CODES
1.12
ADR 8 of 9 (89%) · SAN 9 of 10 (90%)89.4%
AD Rosario: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Santa Cruz PFA: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Santa Cruz PFA's level · Santa Cruz PFA: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level
AD Rosario or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.25
ADR 7 of 9 (78%) · SAN 10 of 10 (100%)88.9%
AD Rosario: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Santa Cruz PFA: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Santa Cruz PFA's level · Santa Cruz PFA: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level
Double Chance: AD Rosario or DrawMAININ CODES
1.09
ADR 6 of 9 (67%) · SAN 8 of 10 (80%)85.6%
AD Rosario unbeaten in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Santa Cruz PFA failed to win 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Santa Cruz PFA's level · Santa Cruz PFA: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level
AD Rosario (Draw No Bet)IN CODES
1.11
ADR 4 of 7 (57%) · SAN 8 of 10 (80%)74%
AD Rosario won 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Santa Cruz PFA lost 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 69% · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Santa Cruz PFA's level · Santa Cruz PFA: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level · won 7, refunded 0, lost 1
AD Rosario or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
1.38
ADR 5 of 9 (56%) · SAN 7 of 10 (70%)62.8%
AD Rosario: the bet landed in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Santa Cruz PFA: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 63% · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Santa Cruz PFA's level · Santa Cruz PFA: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level
AD Rosario to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.59
ADR 4 of 9 (44%) · SAN 8 of 10 (80%)55.9%
AD Rosario won 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Santa Cruz PFA lost 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Santa Cruz PFA's level · Santa Cruz PFA: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level
GOALS
1.19
ADR 7 of 9 (78%) · SAN 9 of 10 (90%)76.4%
AD Rosario: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Santa Cruz PFA: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Santa Cruz PFA's level · Santa Cruz PFA: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.68
ADR 6 of 9 (67%) · SAN 8 of 10 (80%)51.6%
AD Rosario: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Santa Cruz PFA: over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Santa Cruz PFA's level · Santa Cruz PFA: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.70
ADR 7 of 9 (78%) · SAN 5 of 10 (50%)51.9%
AD Rosario: both scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Santa Cruz PFA: both scored in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Santa Cruz PFA's level · Santa Cruz PFA: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level
AD ROSARIO GOALS
AD Rosario Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.12
ADR 8 of 9 (89%) · SAN 9 of 10 (90%)83.1%
AD Rosario scored in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Santa Cruz PFA conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Santa Cruz PFA's level · Santa Cruz PFA: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level
SANTA CRUZ PFA GOALS
Santa Cruz PFA Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.18
ADR 8 of 10 (80%) · SAN 5 of 9 (56%)74.9%
Santa Cruz PFA scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AD Rosario conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · Santa Cruz PFA: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Santa Cruz PFA's level
Santa Cruz PFA Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.49
ADR 6 of 10 (60%) · SAN 8 of 9 (89%)61.8%
Santa Cruz PFA scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AD Rosario conceded in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · Santa Cruz PFA: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Santa Cruz PFA's level
Left off the list: AD Rosario Win & Over 1.5 (the numbers (45%) and the records (52%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); AD Rosario Over 1.5 goals (AD Rosario's own games don't back it (4 of 9)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
82%
OKAY · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
64%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
94%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
AD ROSARIO OR DRAW
88%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
SANTA CRUZ PFA OR DRAW
24%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
TRENDS
AD Rosario have scored in 90% of their games.
Santa Cruz PFA have scored in 60% of their games.
AD Rosario kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Santa Cruz PFA kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.