WAWYD

21:00Sun 18 Oct

UNI

Wydad AC vs Union Sportif Amal Tiznit

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Botola Pro D1, Regular Season - 4. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 21:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stade Mohamed V, Casablanca.

What's at stake. Wydad AC are 10th on 4 points after 3 games, level on points with FAR Rabat, 1 point clear of Widad Témara. A win would take them above FAR Rabat. Union Sportif Amal Tiznit are 14th on 3 points after 3 games, level on points with Moghreb Tetouan, 1 point clear of FUS Rabat. A win would take them above Moghreb Tetouan.

Form. Wydad AC have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L L. Union Sportif Amal Tiznit have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D D.

The numbers. Wydad AC score 0.7 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Wydad AC average 8.7 shots (3.6 on target), 4.3 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Union Sportif Amal Tiznit score one and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Union Sportif Amal Tiznit average 6.4 shots (3.2 on target), 1.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%.

The case against. Union Sportif Amal Tiznit's record still gives them 51% to win.

The read. Wydad AC or the draw. Their goals for and against make Union Sportif Amal Tiznit the likelier winners; Union Sportif Amal Tiznit are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Union Sportif Amal Tiznit.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Both Teams to Score - Yes (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Wydad AC 1-1 Union Sportif Amal Tiznit (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

WYD 6 of 6 (100%) · UNI 4 of 5 (80%)91.2%

Wydad AC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · Union Sportif Amal Tiznit: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Wydad AC: only games against sides at Union Sportif Amal Tiznit's level · Union Sportif Amal Tiznit: only games against sides at Wydad AC's level

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

WYD 6 of 6 (100%) · UNI 4 of 5 (80%)91.2%

Wydad AC: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 at home · Union Sportif Amal Tiznit: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Wydad AC: only games against sides at Union Sportif Amal Tiznit's level · Union Sportif Amal Tiznit: only games against sides at Wydad AC's level

Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.09

WYD 5 of 6 (83%) · UNI 4 of 5 (80%)78.7%

Wydad AC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home · Union Sportif Amal Tiznit: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Wydad AC: only games against sides at Union Sportif Amal Tiznit's level · Union Sportif Amal Tiznit: only games against sides at Wydad AC's level

Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.33

WYD 4 of 6 (67%) · UNI 3 of 5 (60%)55.9%

Wydad AC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home · Union Sportif Amal Tiznit: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Wydad AC: only games against sides at Union Sportif Amal Tiznit's level · Union Sportif Amal Tiznit: only games against sides at Wydad AC's level

Left off the list: Both Teams to Score - Yes (the numbers (47%) and the records (61%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.4%

Wydad AC goals →

Union Sportif Amal… goals ↓

0-010%

1-08%

2-04%

3-01%

4-00.3%

5-00.1%

0-113%

1-113%

2-16%

3-12%

4-10.5%

5-10.1%

0-29%

1-29%

2-24%

3-21%

4-20.3%

5-20.1%

0-34%

1-34%

2-32%

3-30.6%

4-30.1%

5-30.0%

0-42%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.4%

1-50.4%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

WYDAD ACLLLLLLLLWD0.40 PPG

UNION SPORTIF AMAL TIZNITDWLDWDDLWL1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

WYDAD AC HOMExUNION SPORTIF AMAL TIZNIT AWAY

0.70SCORED A GAME1.101.60CONCEDED A GAME1.5020%CLEAN SHEETS30%33%FAILED TO SCORE0%4.33CORNERS A GAME1.802.22CARDS A GAME2.20

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

TRENDS

Wydad AC have scored in 60% of their games.

Union Sportif Amal Tiznit have scored in 90% of their games.

Wydad AC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Union Sportif Amal Tiznit kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards