RMRM

17:15Sun 18 Oct

Real Murcia CF vs Real Zaragoza

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Primera Federacion, Group 2 - 8. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 17:15 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Enrique Roca, Murcia. The referee is G. Acerete.

What's at stake. Real Murcia CF are 4th on 15 points after 7 games, level on points with FC Cartagena, 2 points clear of Alcorcon. A win would take them above FC Cartagena. Real Zaragoza are 2nd on 16 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Villarreal II, 1 point clear of FC Cartagena. A win would take them above Villarreal II.

Form. Real Murcia CF have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L W. Real Zaragoza have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W W.

The numbers. Real Murcia CF score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Real Murcia CF average 11.3 shots (4.6 on target), 5.8 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Real Zaragoza score 2.2 and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Real Zaragoza average 11.8 shots (5.2 on target), 6.4 corners and 2.7 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Real Murcia CF or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Real Zaragoza or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Real Murcia CF or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: Real Murcia CF 1-1 Real Zaragoza (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

RM 7 of 7 (100%) · RZ 5 of 7 (71%)94.2%

Real Murcia CF: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Real Zaragoza: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · Real Murcia CF: only games against sides at Real Zaragoza's level · Real Zaragoza: only games against sides at Real Murcia CF's level

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

RM 7 of 7 (100%) · RZ 7 of 7 (100%)92.8%

Real Murcia CF: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Real Zaragoza: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Real Murcia CF: only games against sides at Real Zaragoza's level · Real Zaragoza: only games against sides at Real Murcia CF's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

RM 7 of 7 (100%) · RZ 4 of 7 (57%)86%

Real Murcia CF: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Real Zaragoza: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Real Murcia CF: only games against sides at Real Zaragoza's level · Real Zaragoza: only games against sides at Real Murcia CF's level

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.25

RM 5 of 7 (71%) · RZ 5 of 7 (71%)76.1%

Real Murcia CF: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Real Zaragoza: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Real Murcia CF: only games against sides at Real Zaragoza's level · Real Zaragoza: only games against sides at Real Murcia CF's level

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.74

RM 4 of 7 (57%) · RZ 3 of 7 (43%)51.1%

Real Murcia CF: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Real Zaragoza: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 50% · Real Murcia CF: only games against sides at Real Zaragoza's level · Real Zaragoza: only games against sides at Real Murcia CF's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

RM 6 of 7 (86%) · RZ 6 of 6 (100%)92.9%

Real Murcia CF's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Real Zaragoza's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · Real Murcia CF: only games against sides at Real Zaragoza's level · Real Zaragoza: only games against sides at Real Murcia CF's level

Left off the list: Real Murcia CF or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Real Zaragoza or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Real Murcia CF or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Real Zaragoza or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.9%

Real Murcia CF goals →

Real Zaragoza goals ↓

0-07%

1-09%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-26%

1-28%

2-26%

3-23%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-34%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.8%

1-41%

2-40.8%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

REAL MURCIA CFWWDLDWLWLW1.70 PPG

REAL ZARAGOZALDLLWWWWWD1.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

REAL MURCIA CF HOMExREAL ZARAGOZA AWAY

1.40SCORED A GAME1.801.20CONCEDED A GAME1.6030%CLEAN SHEETS30%29%FAILED TO SCORE14%5.78CORNERS A GAME6.443.00CARDS A GAME2.67

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

2.14POINTS A GAME2.29+0.71GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.86-1.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+5.51.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.67LEAGUE GAMES7

Real Zaragoza: the quality side - more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

71%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

51%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

86%

OKAY · 85/90

REAL MURCIA CF OR DRAW

77%

NO · 80/85

REAL ZARAGOZA OR DRAW

40%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

REAL MURCIA CFxREAL ZARAGOZA

5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME3.001.00CONCEDED A GAME1.602.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.660%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%20%BOTH SCORE60%5.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–10.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Real Murcia CF have scored in 80% of their games.

Real Zaragoza have scored in 80% of their games.

Real Murcia CF kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Real Zaragoza kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards