Match details. Primera Federacion, Group 2 - 8. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Nou Estadi de Tarragona.
What's at stake. Gimnastic de Tarragona are 15th on 8 points after 7 games, level on points with Sant Andreu, 1 point clear of Europa Fc. A win would take them above Sant Andreu. Atletico Madrid B are 12th on 9 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Algeciras, level on points with Real Madrid II. A win would take them above Algeciras.
Form. Gimnastic de Tarragona have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L W. Atletico Madrid B have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D W.
The numbers. Gimnastic de Tarragona score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. Gimnastic de Tarragona average 7.2 shots (3.8 on target), 3.9 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Atletico Madrid B score 1.8 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Atletico Madrid B average 11.8 shots (5.6 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings Gimnastic de Tarragona have won one, drawn none and lost one. Two of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 21 Feb 2026, it finished Gimnastic de Tarragona 2-1 Atletico Madrid B.
The case against. Gimnastic de Tarragona's record still gives them 28% to win.
The read. Atletico Madrid B to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Atletico Madrid B the likelier winners; Atletico Madrid B are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Gimnastic de Tarragona 1-2 Atletico Madrid B (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).