Match details. Serie B. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 21:30 Lagos time.
Form. LDU Portoviejo have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D D L. Gualaceo SC have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L D.
The numbers. LDU Portoviejo score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. LDU Portoviejo average 5.2 corners and 3.1 cards a game. Gualaceo SC score 1.6 and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with seven clean sheets and three games without a goal. Gualaceo SC average 4.1 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Gualaceo SC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Gualaceo SC Over 0.5 Goals (LDU Portoviejo's own games don't back it (3 of 7)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: LDU Portoviejo 1-1 Gualaceo SC (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LDU 7 of 7 (100%) · GUA 6 of 7 (86%)95.5%
LDU Portoviejo: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gualaceo SC: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · LDU Portoviejo: only games against sides at Gualaceo SC's level · Gualaceo SC: only games against sides at LDU Portoviejo's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LDU 6 of 7 (86%) · GUA 6 of 7 (86%)88.8%
LDU Portoviejo: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gualaceo SC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · LDU Portoviejo: only games against sides at Gualaceo SC's level · Gualaceo SC: only games against sides at LDU Portoviejo's level
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LDU 4 of 7 (57%) · GUA 6 of 7 (86%)76.2%
LDU Portoviejo: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gualaceo SC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · LDU Portoviejo: only games against sides at Gualaceo SC's level · Gualaceo SC: only games against sides at LDU Portoviejo's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.48
LDU 4 of 7 (57%) · GUA 4 of 7 (57%)50.8%
LDU Portoviejo: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Gualaceo SC: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 57% · LDU Portoviejo: only games against sides at Gualaceo SC's level · Gualaceo SC: only games against sides at LDU Portoviejo's level
Left off the list: Gualaceo SC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Gualaceo SC Over 0.5 Goals (LDU Portoviejo's own games don't back it (3 of 7)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Double Chance: Draw or Gualaceo SC (no result call)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–113.1%
LDU Portoviejo goals →
Gualaceo SC goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-07%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-12%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.6%
1-40.9%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.2%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
LDU PORTOVIEJODWDDLWWDWD1.70 PPG
GUALACEO SCDWWLDWWWWD2.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
LDU PORTOVIEJO HOMExGUALACEO SC AWAY
0.93SCORED A GAME1.100.97CONCEDED A GAME0.6630%BOTH SCORED20%60%CLEAN SHEETS70%5.18CORNERS A GAME4.103.09CARDS A GAME2.40
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.40POINTS A GAME1.64+0.30GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.64–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.210LEAGUE GAMES11
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
42%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
36%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
86%
OKAY · 85/90
LDU PORTOVIEJO OR DRAW
61%
NO · 80/85
GUALACEO SC OR DRAW
71%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
LDU PORTOVIEJOxGUALACEO SC
5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME1.401.00CONCEDED A GAME0.602.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.060%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
LDU Portoviejo have scored in 60% of their games.
Gualaceo SC have scored in 70% of their games.
LDU Portoviejo kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
Gualaceo SC kept a clean sheet in 70% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards