FSFCS

15:00Sat 17 Oct

ARA

FC Samtredia vs Aragvi Dusheti

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Erovnuli Liga 2. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

Form. FC Samtredia have won seven, drawn none and lost one of their last eight league games, 2.6 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W L W W. Aragvi Dusheti have won three, drawn one and lost five of their last nine league games, 1.1 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W L L L.

The numbers. FC Samtredia score 3.6 and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. FC Samtredia average 4.9 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Aragvi Dusheti score 1.4 and concede two a game over their last nine, with two clean sheets. Aragvi Dusheti average 4.1 corners and 2.0 cards a game.

The read. FC Samtredia to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC Samtredia the likelier winners; FC Samtredia are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Samtredia. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: FC Samtredia 2-1 Aragvi Dusheti (10% chance).

The agreed story. FC Samtredia or the draw, an open game.

The league run. FC Samtredia: coming out of a defeat with two wins (W W L W W). Aragvi Dusheti: up and down in the league (L W L L L). Not confident in FC Samtredia: a defeat in their last five league games to a side outside the top third.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

FC Samtredia or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCS 5 of 5 (100%) · ARA 5 of 5 (100%)89.5%

FC Samtredia scored first 5 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home · Aragvi Dusheti trailed or failed to win in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FC Samtredia: only games against sides at Aragvi Dusheti's level · Aragvi Dusheti: only games against sides at FC Samtredia's level

FC Samtredia (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCS 5 of 5 (100%) · ARA 5 of 8 (62%)81.7%

FC Samtredia won 5 of 5 at home (draws left out) · Aragvi Dusheti lost 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 75% · FC Samtredia: only games against sides at Aragvi Dusheti's level · Aragvi Dusheti: only games against sides at FC Samtredia's level · won 7, refunded 2, lost 3

FC Samtredia or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCS 5 of 5 (100%) · ARA 7 of 9 (78%)80.7%

FC Samtredia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Aragvi Dusheti: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · FC Samtredia: only games against sides at Aragvi Dusheti's level · Aragvi Dusheti: only games against sides at FC Samtredia's level

FC Samtredia or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCS 5 of 5 (100%) · ARA 6 of 9 (67%)74.4%

FC Samtredia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Aragvi Dusheti: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · FC Samtredia: only games against sides at Aragvi Dusheti's level · Aragvi Dusheti: only games against sides at FC Samtredia's level

FC Samtredia 1UPPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCS 5 of 5 (100%) · ARA 5 of 5 (100%)69.5%

FC Samtredia scored first 5 of last 5, led in 5 · led in 5 of 5 at home · Aragvi Dusheti trailed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FC Samtredia: only games against sides at Aragvi Dusheti's level · Aragvi Dusheti: only games against sides at FC Samtredia's level

FC Samtredia to WinLEANHELD · the odds board 79%

1.26

FCS 5 of 5 (100%) · ARA 5 of 9 (56%)47.2%

FC Samtredia won 5 of 5 at home · Aragvi Dusheti lost 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · FC Samtredia: only games against sides at Aragvi Dusheti's level · Aragvi Dusheti: only games against sides at FC Samtredia's level

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCS 5 of 5 (100%) · ARA 9 of 9 (100%)94.3%

FC Samtredia: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Aragvi Dusheti: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · FC Samtredia: only games against sides at Aragvi Dusheti's level · Aragvi Dusheti: only games against sides at FC Samtredia's level

FC SAMTREDIA GOALS

FC Samtredia Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCS 5 of 5 (100%) · ARA 7 of 9 (78%)86.9%

FC Samtredia scored in 5 of 5 at home · Aragvi Dusheti conceded in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · FC Samtredia: only games against sides at Aragvi Dusheti's level · Aragvi Dusheti: only games against sides at FC Samtredia's level

Left off the list: FC Samtredia or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.9%

FC Samtredia goals →

Aragvi Dusheti goals ↓

0-06%

1-010%

2-011%

3-07%

4-04%

5-01%

0-14%

1-110%

2-110%

3-17%

4-13%

5-11%

0-22%

1-25%

2-25%

3-23%

4-22%

5-20.6%

0-30.7%

1-31%

2-31%

3-31.0%

4-30.5%

5-30.2%

0-40.2%

1-40.3%

2-40.3%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

FC SAMTREDIAWLWLWWWWWW2.40 PPG

ARAGVI DUSHETILWLLLDDWWL1.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FC SAMTREDIA HOMExARAGVI DUSHETI AWAY

1.82SCORED A GAME1.111.43CONCEDED A GAME1.4620%BOTH SCORED60%70%CLEAN SHEETS30%4.88CORNERS A GAME4.122.28CARDS A GAME2.04

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

2.62POINTS A GAME1.11+2.62GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.56+5.6SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.22.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.68LEAGUE GAMES9

FC Samtredia: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

FC SAMTREDIA 2:0 HANDICAP

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389 OF 413

PRICE NOT KEPT

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

76%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

69%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

58%

NO · 85/90

FC SAMTREDIA OR DRAW

82%

OKAY · 80/85

ARAGVI DUSHETI OR DRAW

32%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FC SAMTREDIAxARAGVI DUSHETI

5GAMES53.40SCORED A GAME1.400.40CONCEDED A GAME2.603.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%20%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

FC Samtredia have scored in 90% of their games.

Aragvi Dusheti have scored in 80% of their games.

FC Samtredia kept a clean sheet in 70% of their games.

Aragvi Dusheti kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards