1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig vs BSG Chemie Leipzig
Match details. Regionalliga Northeast. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D D. BSG Chemie Leipzig have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W D.
The numbers. 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig score 1.4 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig average 0.1 cards a game. BSG Chemie Leipzig score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. BSG Chemie Leipzig average 0.1 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour BSG Chemie Leipzig.
The case against. BSG Chemie Leipzig's record still gives them 50% to win.
The read. 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig or the draw. An open game. 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour BSG Chemie Leipzig. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.18, 76% on the records (1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; BSG Chemie Leipzig: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: 1. FC Lokomotive Leipzig 2-1 BSG Chemie Leipzig (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).