Match details. 2nd Division Group 2. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. Grorud IL have won seven, drawn three and lost none of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W. Follo have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D L.
The numbers. Grorud IL score 2.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Grorud IL average 4.2 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Follo score two and concede 2.8 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets. Follo average 3.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
The read. Grorud IL to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Grorud IL the likelier winners; Grorud IL are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Grorud IL. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Follo Over 0.5 goals (Grorud IL's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Grorud IL 2-1 Follo (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Grorud IL or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
GRO 5 of 5 (100%) · FOL 8 of 8 (100%)100%
Grorud IL scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Follo trailed or failed to win in 5 of 5 away · Grorud IL: only games against sides at Follo's level · Follo: only games against sides at Grorud IL's level
Grorud IL or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GRO 7 of 8 (88%) · FOL 5 of 5 (100%)91.7%
Grorud IL: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Follo: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 88% · Grorud IL: only games against sides at Follo's level · Follo: only games against sides at Grorud IL's level
Grorud IL 1UPPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GRO 5 of 5 (100%) · FOL 6 of 8 (75%)85%
Grorud IL scored first 3 of last 5, led in 5 · led in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Follo trailed in 4 of 5 away · Grorud IL: only games against sides at Follo's level · Follo: only games against sides at Grorud IL's level
Grorud IL to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.21
GRO 6 of 8 (75%) · FOL 3 of 5 (60%)63.2%
Grorud IL won 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Follo lost 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 69% · Grorud IL: only games against sides at Follo's level · Follo: only games against sides at Grorud IL's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GRO 7 of 8 (88%) · FOL 5 of 5 (100%)94.9%
Grorud IL: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Follo: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · Grorud IL: only games against sides at Follo's level · Follo: only games against sides at Grorud IL's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 79%
1.26
GRO 4 of 8 (50%) · FOL 5 of 5 (100%)59.2%
Grorud IL: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Follo: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 56% · Grorud IL: only games against sides at Follo's level · Follo: only games against sides at Grorud IL's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.59
GRO 4 of 8 (50%) · FOL 5 of 5 (100%)54.7%
Grorud IL: both scored in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Follo: both scored in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 56% · Grorud IL: only games against sides at Follo's level · Follo: only games against sides at Grorud IL's level
GRORUD IL GOALS
Grorud IL Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GRO 7 of 8 (88%) · FOL 5 of 5 (100%)87.8%
Grorud IL scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Follo conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 88% · Grorud IL: only games against sides at Follo's level · Follo: only games against sides at Grorud IL's level
Grorud IL Over 1.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 84%
1.19
GRO 6 of 8 (75%) · FOL 5 of 5 (100%)62.2%
Grorud IL scored over 1.5 in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Follo conceded over 1.5 in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 69% · Grorud IL: only games against sides at Follo's level · Follo: only games against sides at Grorud IL's level
Left off the list: Follo Over 0.5 goals (Grorud IL's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Grorud IL win and over 2.5 goals (the numbers (44%) and the records (51%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.9%
Grorud IL goals →
Follo goals ↓
0-05%
1-09%
2-010%
3-07%
4-04%
5-02%
0-14%
1-110%
2-110%
3-17%
4-14%
5-12%
0-22%
1-25%
2-25%
3-23%
4-22%
5-20.7%
0-30.7%
1-31%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.6%
5-30.2%
0-40.2%
1-40.3%
2-40.4%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.1%
0-50.0%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
GRORUD ILWWWDWWDWDW2.40 PPG
FOLLOLLLDLLWLDW0.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
GRORUD IL HOMExFOLLO AWAY
1.87SCORED A GAME1.170.91CONCEDED A GAME2.1760%BOTH SCORED60%40%CLEAN SHEETS10%4.19CORNERS A GAME3.801.90CARDS A GAME2.00
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
2.36POINTS A GAME0.73+1.55GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.91+3.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.03.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.811LEAGUE GAMES11
Grorud IL: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
GRORUD IL 2:0 HANDICAP
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389 OF 413
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
62%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
50%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
76%
NO · 85/90
GRORUD IL OR DRAW
82%
OKAY · 80/85
FOLLO OR DRAW
33%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
GRORUD ILxFOLLO
5GAMES62.60SCORED A GAME1.671.00CONCEDED A GAME2.673.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.380%OVER 1.5 GOALS83%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS83%40%BOTH SCORE83%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Grorud IL have scored in 90% of their games.
Follo have scored in 70% of their games.
Grorud IL kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Follo kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards