FGFCG

12:30Sat 17 Oct

FCT

FC Gareji Sagarejo vs FC Telavi

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Erovnuli Liga 2. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time.

Form. FC Gareji Sagarejo have won three, drawn two and lost four of their last nine league games, 1.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L W L D. FC Telavi have won two, drawn five and lost two of their last nine league games, 1.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W D D D L.

The numbers. FC Gareji Sagarejo score 1.2 and concede 1.9 a game over their last nine, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. FC Gareji Sagarejo average 3.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game. FC Telavi score 1.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. FC Telavi average 4.0 corners and 2.7 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.

The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: FC Gareji Sagarejo 1-1 FC Telavi (13% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (FC Gareji Sagarejo the favourite), goals in between.

The league run. FC Gareji Sagarejo: lost their last two league games (L L W L D). FC Telavi: one defeat in their last five league games (W D D D L).

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCG 8 of 9 (89%) · FCT 5 of 5 (100%)91.9%

FC Gareji Sagarejo: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Telavi: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 89% · FC Gareji Sagarejo: only games against sides at FC Telavi's level · FC Telavi: only games against sides at FC Gareji Sagarejo's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCG 6 of 9 (67%) · FCT 4 of 5 (80%)83.7%

FC Gareji Sagarejo: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Telavi: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 78% · FC Gareji Sagarejo: only games against sides at FC Telavi's level · FC Telavi: only games against sides at FC Gareji Sagarejo's level

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCG 6 of 9 (67%) · FCT 3 of 5 (60%)73.7%

FC Gareji Sagarejo: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Telavi: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 72% · FC Gareji Sagarejo: only games against sides at FC Telavi's level · FC Telavi: only games against sides at FC Gareji Sagarejo's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 58%

1.73

FCG 4 of 9 (44%) · FCT 2 of 5 (40%)33.5%

FC Gareji Sagarejo: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · FC Telavi: under 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 50% · FC Gareji Sagarejo: only games against sides at FC Telavi's level · FC Telavi: only games against sides at FC Gareji Sagarejo's level

FC TELAVI GOALS

FC Telavi Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

FCT 5 of 5 (100%) · FCG 8 of 9 (89%)50.1%

FC Telavi scored in 5 of 5 away · FC Gareji Sagarejo conceded in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · FC Telavi: only games against sides at FC Gareji Sagarejo's level · FC Gareji Sagarejo: only games against sides at FC Telavi's level

Left off the list: FC Gareji Sagarejo or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); FC Telavi or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.1%

FC Gareji Sagarejo goals →

FC Telavi goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-08%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.8%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

FC GAREJI SAGAREJOLLWLDWWLDL1.10 PPG

FC TELAVIWDDDLLWDDL1.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

FC GAREJI SAGAREJO HOMExFC TELAVI AWAY

1.25SCORED A GAME1.181.04CONCEDED A GAME0.9360%BOTH SCORED60%10%CLEAN SHEETS20%3.22CORNERS A GAME4.051.78CARDS A GAME2.71

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

PRICE NOT KEPT

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.22POINTS A GAME1.22-0.67GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00-5.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-3.50.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.29LEAGUE GAMES9

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

71%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

49%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

80%

NO · 85/90

FC GAREJI SAGAREJO OR DRAW

78%

NO · 80/85

FC TELAVI OR DRAW

67%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

FC GAREJI SAGAREJOxFC TELAVI

5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.602.40CONCEDED A GAME1.603.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.260%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

FC Gareji Sagarejo have scored in 60% of their games.

FC Telavi have scored in 70% of their games.

FC Gareji Sagarejo kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

FC Telavi kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards