Match details. China League 1. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time.
Form. Guangxi Hengchen FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W W. Changchun Yatai have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D W.
The numbers. Guangxi Hengchen FC score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Guangxi Hengchen FC average 5.9 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Changchun Yatai score 0.7 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Changchun Yatai average 4.2 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 72% against the records' 51%.
The read. No firm call: Guangxi Hengchen FC are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Guangxi Hengchen FC the likelier winners; Guangxi Hengchen FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Guangxi Hengchen FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Guangxi Hengchen FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); 1X2 - 2UP: Guangxi Hengchen FC (the signs point different ways); Guangxi Hengchen FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Guangxi Hengchen FC 1-1 Changchun Yatai (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Guangxi Hengchen FC or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
GUA 4 of 5 (80%) · CHA 6 of 6 (100%)85.4%
Guangxi Hengchen FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Changchun Yatai: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 70% · Guangxi Hengchen FC: only games against sides at Changchun Yatai's level · Changchun Yatai: only games against sides at Guangxi Hengchen FC's level
Guangxi Hengchen FC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GUA 4 of 5 (80%) · CHA 6 of 6 (100%)85%
Guangxi Hengchen FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Changchun Yatai: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 90% · Guangxi Hengchen FC: only games against sides at Changchun Yatai's level · Changchun Yatai: only games against sides at Guangxi Hengchen FC's level
Double Chance: Guangxi Hengchen FC or DrawIN CODES
1.10
GUA 4 of 5 (80%) · CHA 6 of 6 (100%)76.8%
Guangxi Hengchen FC unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · Changchun Yatai failed to win 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 70% · Guangxi Hengchen FC: only games against sides at Changchun Yatai's level · Changchun Yatai: only games against sides at Guangxi Hengchen FC's level
Guangxi Hengchen FC 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
1.22
GUA 3 of 5 (60%) · CHA 3 of 5 (60%)67.8%
Guangxi Hengchen FC scored first 2 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 3 of 5 at home · Changchun Yatai trailed in 5 of 6 away · Guangxi Hengchen FC: only games against sides at Changchun Yatai's level · Changchun Yatai: only games against sides at Guangxi Hengchen FC's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GUA 4 of 5 (80%) · CHA 6 of 6 (100%)96.1%
Guangxi Hengchen FC: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Changchun Yatai: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 90% · Guangxi Hengchen FC: only games against sides at Changchun Yatai's level · Changchun Yatai: only games against sides at Guangxi Hengchen FC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GUA 4 of 5 (80%) · CHA 6 of 6 (100%)90%
Guangxi Hengchen FC: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Changchun Yatai: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 90% · Guangxi Hengchen FC: only games against sides at Changchun Yatai's level · Changchun Yatai: only games against sides at Guangxi Hengchen FC's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.80
GUA 3 of 5 (60%) · CHA 4 of 6 (67%)50.9%
Guangxi Hengchen FC: both scored in 3 of 5 at home · Changchun Yatai: both scored in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 40% · Guangxi Hengchen FC: only games against sides at Changchun Yatai's level · Changchun Yatai: only games against sides at Guangxi Hengchen FC's level
GUANGXI HENGCHEN FC GOALS
Guangxi Hengchen FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GUA 4 of 5 (80%) · CHA 6 of 6 (100%)80%
Guangxi Hengchen FC scored in 4 of 5 at home · Changchun Yatai conceded in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 70% · Guangxi Hengchen FC: only games against sides at Changchun Yatai's level · Changchun Yatai: only games against sides at Guangxi Hengchen FC's level
CHANGCHUN YATAI GOALS
Changchun Yatai Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.63
GUA 4 of 6 (67%) · CHA 4 of 5 (80%)63.4%
Changchun Yatai scored in 4 of 6 away · Guangxi Hengchen FC conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70% · Changchun Yatai: only games against sides at Guangxi Hengchen FC's level · Guangxi Hengchen FC: only games against sides at Changchun Yatai's level
Left off the list: Guangxi Hengchen FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); 1X2 - 2UP: Guangxi Hengchen FC (the numbers (48%) and the records (62%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Guangxi Hengchen FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–113.1%
Guangxi Hengchen FC goals →
Changchun Yatai goals ↓
0-09%
1-011%
2-09%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-24%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.6%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
GUANGXI HENGCHEN FCDLWWWLWDWL1.70 PPG
CHANGCHUN YATAIDDLDWWLWLL1.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
GUANGXI HENGCHEN FC HOMExCHANGCHUN YATAI AWAY
1.58SCORED A GAME1.501.08CONCEDED A GAME1.6230%BOTH SCORED50%40%CLEAN SHEETS30%5.88CORNERS A GAME4.151.50CARDS A GAME1.85
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.93POINTS A GAME1.36+0.64GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.07+4.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.62.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.214LEAGUE GAMES14
Guangxi Hengchen FC: the quality side - more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
84%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
48%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
81%
NO · 85/90
GUANGXI HENGCHEN FC OR DRAW
88%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
CHANGCHUN YATAI OR DRAW
44%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (14 and 14 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
GUANGXI HENGCHEN FCxCHANGCHUN YATAI
8GAMES72.12SCORED A GAME1.001.38CONCEDED A GAME1.713.5GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.775%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%62%OVER 2.5 GOALS57%62%BOTH SCORE71%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Guangxi Hengchen FC have scored in 70% of their games.
Changchun Yatai have scored in 80% of their games.
Guangxi Hengchen FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Changchun Yatai kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards