Match details. Erovnuli Liga, Regular Season - 29. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Mtskheta Park, Tbilisi.
What's at stake. FC Gagra are 8th on 29 points after 28 games, 6 points behind Samgurali, 3 points clear of Spaeri. FC Dinamo Batumi are 1st on 50 points after 28 games, 1 point clear of Rustavi.
Form. FC Gagra have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D L. In this competition FC Gagra have gone L D L D L W. FC Dinamo Batumi have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W W. In this competition FC Dinamo Batumi have gone W W D W W W.
The numbers. FC Gagra score one and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. FC Gagra average 8.0 shots (3.0 on target), 6.0 corners and 2.7 cards a game, with 41% of the ball. FC Dinamo Batumi score 1.8 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. FC Dinamo Batumi average 11.5 shots (6.2 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 54% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings FC Gagra have won three, drawn four and lost three. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in nine. In the last four, FC Gagra won one, two were drawn and FC Dinamo Batumi won one. The last time they met, on 8 Aug 2026, it finished FC Gagra 2-2 FC Dinamo Batumi: FC Gagra had 5 shots to 14, 39% of the ball, one yellow card.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. FC Gagra's record still gives them 21% to win.
The read. FC Dinamo Batumi to win. FC Dinamo Batumi are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (FC Dinamo Batumi are a clear winner, no Unders); FC Gagra Over 0.5 goals (FC Dinamo Batumi's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (FC Dinamo Batumi are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: FC Gagra 0-1 FC Dinamo Batumi (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).