EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael vs Canet Roussillon FC
Match details. National 1, Group C - 7. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael are 8th on 9 points after 6 games, level on points with Hauts Lyonnais, 1 point clear of Andrézieux. A win would take them above Hauts Lyonnais. Canet Roussillon FC are 17th on 2 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Lyon Duchere. A win would take them above Lyon Duchere.
Form. EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W L. Canet Roussillon FC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L L.
The numbers. EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael score 1.3 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael average 1.5 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Canet Roussillon FC score one and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal.
Head to head. Canet Roussillon FC have won all of the last three meetings. Two of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 11 Feb 2023, it finished EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael 1-2 Canet Roussillon FC.
Where it pulls both ways. EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael are the form side, but the meetings favour Canet Roussillon FC: in the last three meetings, Canet Roussillon FC won three. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%; two of the last three meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael 1-1 Canet Roussillon FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).