Navbahor vs Pakhtakor
Match details. Superliga, Regular Season - 24. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Markaziy Stadium, Namangan. The referee is I. Tantashev.
What's at stake. Navbahor are 3rd on 45 points after 23 games, 7 points behind Pakhtakor, 6 points clear of Olmaliq. Pakhtakor are 2nd on 52 points after 23 games, 3 points behind Neftchi, 7 points clear of Navbahor. A win would take them level on points with Neftchi.
Form. Navbahor have won seven, drawn three and lost none of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D W. In this competition Navbahor have gone D W W D W W. Pakhtakor have won six, drawn four and lost none of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D. In this competition Pakhtakor have gone W W W W D D.
The numbers. Navbahor score 2.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Navbahor average 6.6 corners and 1.3 cards a game. Pakhtakor score 1.5 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Pakhtakor average 5.0 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Navbahor have won three, drawn three and lost three. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Navbahor won two, one was drawn and Pakhtakor won one. The last time they met, on 10 Mar 2026, it finished Navbahor 2-0 Pakhtakor.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Navbahor the likelier winners, but Pakhtakor are the stronger side on form and the table. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%; five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: Navbahor or Both Teams Score (no result call); Pakhtakor or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Navbahor or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: Navbahor 1-1 Pakhtakor (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).