TFTON

15:00Sat 17 Oct

POL

Tonota FC vs Police Xi

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Tonota FC are 1st on 11 points after 5 games, 2 points clear of Gaborone United. Police Xi are 4th on 8 points after 5 games, level on points with TAFIC, level on points with Sua Flamingoes. A win would take them above TAFIC.

Form. Tonota FC have won three, drawn two and lost none of their last five, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D W. Police Xi have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W W.

The numbers. Tonota FC score 1.4 and concede 0.6 a game over their last five, with two clean sheets. Tonota FC average 4.0 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Police Xi score 0.4 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Police Xi average 13.3 shots (4.7 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.5 cards a game.

The read. Tonota FC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Tonota FC the likelier winners; Tonota FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Tonota FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 18%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Tonota FC 1-0 Police Xi (12% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Tonota FC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TON 5 of 5 (100%) · POL 5 of 5 (100%)100%

Tonota FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Police Xi: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Tonota FC: only games against sides at Police Xi's level · Police Xi: only games against sides at Tonota FC's level

Double Chance: Tonota FC or DrawIN CODES

1.33

TON 5 of 5 (100%) · POL 4 of 5 (80%)78%

Tonota FC unbeaten in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Police Xi failed to win 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · Tonota FC: only games against sides at Police Xi's level · Police Xi: only games against sides at Tonota FC's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TON 5 of 5 (100%) · POL 5 of 5 (100%)96.6%

Tonota FC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Police Xi: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Tonota FC: only games against sides at Police Xi's level · Police Xi: only games against sides at Tonota FC's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TON 5 of 5 (100%) · POL 5 of 5 (100%)91%

Tonota FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Police Xi: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · Tonota FC: only games against sides at Police Xi's level · Police Xi: only games against sides at Tonota FC's level

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TON 4 of 5 (80%) · POL 5 of 5 (100%)79.6%

Tonota FC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Police Xi: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Tonota FC: only games against sides at Police Xi's level · Police Xi: only games against sides at Tonota FC's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

TON 4 of 5 (80%) · POL 4 of 5 (80%)61.1%

Tonota FC: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Police Xi: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · Tonota FC: only games against sides at Police Xi's level · Police Xi: only games against sides at Tonota FC's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 11.8%

Tonota FC goals →

Police Xi goals ↓

0-09%

1-012%

2-09%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.7%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.4%

1-40.5%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

TONOTA FCWDDWW2.20 PPG

POLICE XIDLWDLWWDDL1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

TONOTA FC HOMExPOLICE XI AWAY

1.40SCORED A GAME0.500.60CONCEDED A GAME0.5040%CLEAN SHEETS70%0%FAILED TO SCORE60%4.00CORNERS A GAME5.001.50CARDS A GAME1.50

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

POLICE XI 0:3 HANDICAP

–

134 OF 142

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO

–

138 OF 151

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

TRENDS

Tonota FC have scored in 100% of their games.

Police Xi have scored in 40% of their games.

Tonota FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Police Xi kept a clean sheet in 70% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards