LGLAM

14:30Sat 17 Oct

MIL

Lamontville Golden Arrows vs Milford FC

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Premiership, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time. It is played at Princess Magogo Stadium, Durban.

What's at stake. Lamontville Golden Arrows are 8th on 8 points after 7 games, 2 points behind Stellenbosch, level on points with Chippa United. A win would take them above Stellenbosch. Milford FC are 5th on 12 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Kaizer Chiefs, 1 point clear of Sekhukhune United. A win would take them above Kaizer Chiefs.

Form. Lamontville Golden Arrows have won one, drawn five and lost one of their last seven, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W D. In this competition Lamontville Golden Arrows have gone D D L W D D. Milford FC have won three, drawn three and lost two of their last eight, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D L D. In this competition Milford FC have gone D W D L D W.

The numbers. Lamontville Golden Arrows score 0.4 and concede 0.4 a game over their last seven, with five clean sheets and four games without a goal. Milford FC score 1.1 and concede 0.9 a game over their last eight, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 34% against the records' 54%.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 20%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: 2nd Half - Double Chance: Draw or Milford FC (no result call); Double Chance: Draw or Milford FC (no result call). Predicted score: Lamontville Golden Arrows 1-1 Milford FC (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LAM 7 of 7 (100%) · MIL 7 of 8 (88%)96.9%

Lamontville Golden Arrows: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Milford FC: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Lamontville Golden Arrows: only games against sides at Milford FC's level · Milford FC: only games against sides at Lamontville Golden Arrows's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LAM 7 of 7 (100%) · MIL 7 of 8 (88%)91.6%

Lamontville Golden Arrows: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Milford FC: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Lamontville Golden Arrows: only games against sides at Milford FC's level · Milford FC: only games against sides at Lamontville Golden Arrows's level

Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.18

LAM 7 of 7 (100%) · MIL 7 of 8 (88%)80.6%

Lamontville Golden Arrows: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Milford FC: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Lamontville Golden Arrows: only games against sides at Milford FC's level · Milford FC: only games against sides at Lamontville Golden Arrows's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.51

LAM 6 of 7 (86%) · MIL 6 of 8 (75%)62.3%

Lamontville Golden Arrows: under 2.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Milford FC: under 2.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Lamontville Golden Arrows: only games against sides at Milford FC's level · Milford FC: only games against sides at Lamontville Golden Arrows's level

HALVES

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.27

LAM 7 of 7 (100%) · MIL 7 of 8 (88%)93.8%

Lamontville Golden Arrows: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Milford FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · on half-time scores · Lamontville Golden Arrows: only games against sides at Milford FC's level · Milford FC: only games against sides at Lamontville Golden Arrows's level

Left off the list: 2nd Half - Double Chance: Draw or Milford FC (no result call); Double Chance: Draw or Milford FC (no result call)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.8%

Lamontville Golden… goals →

Milford FC goals ↓

0-010%

1-010%

2-07%

3-03%

4-00.8%

5-00.2%

0-110%

1-114%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11.0%

5-10.2%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.6%

5-20.1%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.2%

5-30.1%

0-40.7%

1-40.9%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 8

LAMONTVILLE GOLDEN ARROWSDDDWLDD1.14 PPG

MILFORD FCLWWDLDWD1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

LAMONTVILLE GOLDEN ARROWS HOMExMILFORD FC AWAY

0.43SCORED A GAME1.120.43CONCEDED A GAME0.8871%CLEAN SHEETS38%57%FAILED TO SCORE50%

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO

–

138 OF 151

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.38POINTS A GAME1.50+0.12GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.25+2.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.01.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.28LEAGUE GAMES8

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

35%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

16%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

96%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

LAMONTVILLE GOLDEN ARROWS OR DRAW

86%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

MILFORD FC OR DRAW

63%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

LAMONTVILLE GOLDEN ARROWSxMILFORD FC

5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME1.200.60CONCEDED A GAME0.801.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.040%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%40%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES2.8–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.2

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Lamontville Golden Arrows failed to score in 57% of their games.

Milford FC failed to score in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstleague table