ES Hammam Sousse vs US Ben Guerdane
Match details. Ligue 1, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time. It is played at Bou Ali Lahouar Stadium, Sousse.
What's at stake. ES Hammam Sousse are 16th on 1 point after 5 games, 1 point behind Olympique Béja. A win would take them above Olympique Béja. US Ben Guerdane are 3rd on 11 points after 5 games, level on points with Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer, 2 points clear of Club Africain. A win would take them above Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer.
Form. ES Hammam Sousse have won none, drawn one and lost four of their last five, 0.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L D. US Ben Guerdane have won three, drawn two and lost none of their last five, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D W.
The numbers. ES Hammam Sousse score 0.2 and concede 1.4 a game over their last five, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. ES Hammam Sousse average 6.0 shots (3.4 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game. US Ben Guerdane score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game over their last five, with one clean sheet. US Ben Guerdane average 4.8 shots (2.0 on target), 1.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings ES Hammam Sousse have won none, drawn one and lost one. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 10 Apr 2022, it finished ES Hammam Sousse 1-1 US Ben Guerdane.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 34% against the records' 70%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.
The read. No firm call: US Ben Guerdane are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make US Ben Guerdane the likelier winners; US Ben Guerdane are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour US Ben Guerdane.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: ES Hammam Sousse 0-1 US Ben Guerdane (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).