Gorna Oryahovitsa vs FK Septemvri Sofia
Match details. Bulgarian Cup. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. Gorna Oryahovitsa have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W D. FK Septemvri Sofia have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L D.
The numbers. Gorna Oryahovitsa score one and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets and four games without a goal. Gorna Oryahovitsa average 11.8 shots (4.1 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.2 cards a game. FK Septemvri Sofia score 0.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. FK Septemvri Sofia average 8.3 shots (3.4 on target), 3.8 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 22% against the records' 57%.
The read. No firm call: Gorna Oryahovitsa are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Gorna Oryahovitsa the likelier winners; Gorna Oryahovitsa are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Gorna Oryahovitsa. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Gorna Oryahovitsa 1-0 FK Septemvri Sofia (16% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).