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SWITZERLAND - SCHWEIZER CUP
FC Winterthur crestFWFCW
17:00Sat 17 Oct
FCLFC Luzern crestFL

FC Winterthur vs FC Luzern

CLASS A
THE READ

Match details. Schweizer Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Schützenwiese, Winterthur.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. FC Winterthur have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W W D. In this competition FC Winterthur have gone W. FC Luzern have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D W. In this competition FC Luzern have gone W.

The numbers. FC Winterthur score two and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Winterthur average 14.4 shots (5.4 on target), 5.7 corners and 2.0 cards a game. FC Luzern score 1.5 and concede 2.2 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. FC Luzern average 17.3 shots (6.0 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.7 cards a game, with 45% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last eight meetings FC Winterthur have won three, drawn one and lost four. Eight of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, FC Winterthur won two, one was drawn and FC Luzern won one. The last time they met, on 16 May 2026, it finished FC Winterthur 0-3 FC Luzern: FC Winterthur had 12 shots to 27, 42% of the ball, three yellow cards.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 78%. Eight of the last eight meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FC Winterthur or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); FC Luzern or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); FC Winterthur or Both Teams Score (no result call). Predicted score: FC Winterthur 1-2 FC Luzern (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCW 10 of 10 (100%) · FCL 6 of 6 (100%)93.4%
FC Winterthur: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Luzern: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · each game weighed by who it was against
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCW 9 of 10 (90%) · FCL 6 of 6 (100%)77.7%
FC Winterthur: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Luzern: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 6 of 6 · each game weighed by who it was against
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.43
FCW 6 of 10 (60%) · FCL 5 of 6 (83%)53.3%
FC Winterthur: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Luzern: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 6 of 6 · each game weighed by who it was against
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.44
FCW 4 of 10 (40%) · FCL 3 of 6 (50%)57.1%
FC Winterthur: both scored in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Luzern: both scored in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 51% · H2H 5 of 6 · each game weighed by who it was against
FC WINTERTHUR GOALS
FC Winterthur Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.26
FCW 8 of 10 (80%) · FCL 5 of 6 (83%)71.8%
FC Winterthur scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Luzern conceded in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 81% · H2H 5 of 6 · each game weighed by who it was against
Left off the list: FC Winterthur or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); FC Luzern or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); FC Winterthur or Both Teams Score (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals (the numbers (72%) and the records (95%) are 23 points apart, and nothing settles it); FC Luzern or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); FC Winterthur or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–2 9.1%
FC Winterthur goals →
FC Luzern goals ↓
0-07%
1-07%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.6%
5-00.2%
0-19%
1-112%
2-17%
3-13%
4-11.0%
5-10.3%
0-27%
1-29%
2-26%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-34%
1-35%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.5%
4-40.2%
5-40.0%
0-50.4%
1-50.6%
2-50.4%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
FC WINTERTHURLWWWDDWWWL2.00 PPG
FC LUZERNLDWWDWDLWL1.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FC WINTERTHUR HOMExFC LUZERN AWAY
2.00SCORED A GAME1.901.00CONCEDED A GAME1.9040%CLEAN SHEETS20%20%FAILED TO SCORE20%5.67CORNERS A GAME4.432.00CARDS A GAME2.71
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.80POINTS A GAME1.09+0.80GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.55+3.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.02.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.410LEAGUE GAMES11
FC Winterthur: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows.
FC WINTERTHUR 2:0 HANDICAP
–
389 OF 413
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
90%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
74%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
84%
NO · 85/90
FC WINTERTHUR OR DRAW
95%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
FC LUZERN OR DRAW
44%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
FC WINTERTHURxFC LUZERN
5GAMES62.80SCORED A GAME1.500.80CONCEDED A GAME2.833.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES4.3100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS83%60%BOTH SCORE67%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 8
FC WINTERTHUR 3 · 38%DRAW 1FC LUZERN 4 · 50%
6 of 8BOTH TEAMS SCORED
8 of 8OVER 1.5 GOALS
8 of 8OVER 2.5 GOALS
4 of 8OVER 3.5 GOALS
2024-02-11FC Winterthur 2 – 1 FC Luzern
2024-08-24FC Winterthur 0 – 3 FC Luzern
2024-12-14FC Winterthur 3 – 4 FC Luzern
2025-02-09FC Winterthur 2 – 3 FC Luzern
2025-10-25FC Winterthur 2 – 2 FC Luzern
2025-11-29FC Winterthur 3 – 1 FC Luzern
2026-03-15FC Winterthur 2 – 1 FC Luzern
2026-05-16FC Winterthur 0 – 3 FC Luzern
TRENDS
FC Winterthur have scored in 80% of their games.
FC Luzern have scored in 80% of their games.
FC Winterthur kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
FC Luzern kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headcornerscards
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