SPAIN - PRIMERA FEDERACION
15:30Sat 17 Oct
RCD
RD
CD Lugo vs RC Deportivo Fabril
CLASS D
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
82
DOUBLE CHANCE
Class D
Double Chance: CD Lugo or Draw
CD Lugo v RC Deportivo Fabril
1.21odds
83%book
-1edge
1/1angles
THE READ
Match details. Primera Federacion. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 15:30 Lagos time.
Form. CD Lugo have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. RC Deportivo Fabril have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D W.
The numbers. CD Lugo score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. CD Lugo average 10.4 shots (4.4 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.4 cards a game. RC Deportivo Fabril score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. RC Deportivo Fabril average 10.5 shots (3.8 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
The case against. RC Deportivo Fabril's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. CD Lugo to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CD Lugo the likelier winners; CD Lugo are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Lugo. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.
The bets. Best bet: CD Lugo or Draw at 1.20, 82% on the records (CD Lugo unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; RC Deportivo Fabril failed to win 5 of 7). Backup: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.32. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CD Lugo 1-0 RC Deportivo Fabril (12% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
CD Lugo or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDL 5 of 5 (100%) · RCD 8 of 8 (100%)93.3%
CD Lugo scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · RC Deportivo Fabril trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CD Lugo: only games against sides at RC Deportivo Fabril's level · RC Deportivo Fabril: only games against sides at CD Lugo's level
CD Lugo 1UPPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDL 5 of 5 (100%) · RCD 7 of 8 (88%)89.2%
CD Lugo scored first 4 of last 5, led in 5 · led in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · RC Deportivo Fabril trailed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CD Lugo: only games against sides at RC Deportivo Fabril's level · RC Deportivo Fabril: only games against sides at CD Lugo's level
Double Chance: CD Lugo or DrawMAININ CODES
1.21
CDL 4 of 5 (80%) · RCD 5 of 7 (71%)81.9%
CD Lugo unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · RC Deportivo Fabril failed to win 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · CD Lugo: only games against sides at RC Deportivo Fabril's level · RC Deportivo Fabril: only games against sides at CD Lugo's level
CD Lugo or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDL 4 of 5 (80%) · RCD 5 of 7 (71%)77.4%
CD Lugo: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · RC Deportivo Fabril: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · CD Lugo: only games against sides at RC Deportivo Fabril's level · RC Deportivo Fabril: only games against sides at CD Lugo's level
CD Lugo (Draw No Bet)IN CODES
1.35
CDL 7 of 8 (88%) · RCD 3 of 5 (60%)76%
CD Lugo won 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · RC Deportivo Fabril lost 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 74% · CD Lugo: only games against sides at RC Deportivo Fabril's level · RC Deportivo Fabril: only games against sides at CD Lugo's level · won 5, refunded 2, lost 3
CD Lugo to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.76
CDL 3 of 5 (60%) · RCD 3 of 7 (43%)57.3%
CD Lugo won 3 of 5 at home · RC Deportivo Fabril lost 3 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 56% · CD Lugo: only games against sides at RC Deportivo Fabril's level · RC Deportivo Fabril: only games against sides at CD Lugo's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDL 5 of 5 (100%) · RCD 7 of 7 (100%)94.9%
CD Lugo: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · RC Deportivo Fabril: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · CD Lugo: only games against sides at RC Deportivo Fabril's level · RC Deportivo Fabril: only games against sides at CD Lugo's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDL 5 of 5 (100%) · RCD 7 of 7 (100%)87.4%
CD Lugo: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · RC Deportivo Fabril: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · CD Lugo: only games against sides at RC Deportivo Fabril's level · RC Deportivo Fabril: only games against sides at CD Lugo's level
Under 3.5 GoalsBACKUPIN CODES
1.30
CDL 3 of 5 (60%) · RCD 6 of 7 (86%)73.1%
CD Lugo: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · RC Deportivo Fabril: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · CD Lugo: only games against sides at RC Deportivo Fabril's level · RC Deportivo Fabril: only games against sides at CD Lugo's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.85
CDL 3 of 5 (60%) · RCD 4 of 7 (57%)51.3%
CD Lugo: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · RC Deportivo Fabril: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 54% · CD Lugo: only games against sides at RC Deportivo Fabril's level · RC Deportivo Fabril: only games against sides at CD Lugo's level
CD LUGO GOALS
CD Lugo Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDL 4 of 5 (80%) · RCD 6 of 7 (86%)82.5%
CD Lugo scored in 4 of 5 at home · RC Deportivo Fabril conceded in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · CD Lugo: only games against sides at RC Deportivo Fabril's level · RC Deportivo Fabril: only games against sides at CD Lugo's level
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–0 12%
CD Lugo goals →
RC Deportivo Fabril goals ↓
0-08%
1-012%
2-011%
3-06%
4-03%
5-01.0%
0-16%
1-112%
2-110%
3-16%
4-12%
5-10.9%
0-23%
1-25%
2-24%
3-22%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-30.8%
1-31%
2-31%
3-30.7%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.2%
1-40.3%
2-40.3%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.1%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
CD LUGOLWDWDWWWWW2.30 PPG
RC DEPORTIVO FABRILWLWLDWDWLL1.40 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CD LUGO HOMExRC DEPORTIVO FABRIL AWAY
1.40SCORED A GAME1.300.70CONCEDED A GAME0.9050%CLEAN SHEETS30%4.12CORNERS A GAME4.502.38CARDS A GAME2.17
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.71POINTS A GAME1.17+1.14GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00+2.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-4.03.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.47LEAGUE GAMES6
CD Lugo: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
CD LUGO 2:0 HANDICAP
–
389 OF 413
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
59%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
45%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
98%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
CD LUGO OR DRAW
91%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
RC DEPORTIVO FABRIL OR DRAW
17%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CD LUGOxRC DEPORTIVO FABRIL
5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME1.200.60CONCEDED A GAME1.002.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.260%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE60%4.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–10.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
CD Lugo have scored in 80% of their games.
RC Deportivo Fabril have scored in 70% of their games.
CD Lugo kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
RC Deportivo Fabril kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards