INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - UEFA EUROPA LEAGUE

BIBES

20:00Thu 22 Oct

CRY

Besiktas Istanbul vs Crystal Palace

CLASS A

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. UEFA Europa League, League Stage - 3. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It is played at Tüpraş Stadium, Istanbul. The referee is Danny Makkelie.

What's at stake. Besiktas Istanbul are 4th on 6 points after 2 games, level on points with Benfica, level on points with Bournemouth. A win would take them above Benfica. Crystal Palace are 15th on 3 points after 2 games, 1 point behind Dinamo Zagreb, level on points with AC Milan. A win would take them above Dinamo Zagreb.

Team news. Besiktas Istanbul are without C. Keles (off the roster), O. Kokcu (foot injury), M. Rashica (muscle injury), C. Keles (off the roster), O. Kokcu (foot injury), M. Rashica (muscle injury). Crystal Palace are without C. Doucoure (off the roster), Z. Gozo (off the roster), E. Guessand (off the roster), D. Henderson (foot injury), J. Lerma (off the roster), C. Riad (knee injury).

Form. Besiktas Istanbul have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L W. Crystal Palace have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D W. In this competition Crystal Palace have gone L W.

The numbers. Besiktas Istanbul score 2.2 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Besiktas Istanbul average 15.0 shots (6.7 on target), 6.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 60% of the ball. Crystal Palace score one and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Crystal Palace average 10.9 shots (4.5 on target), 3.8 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.

The case against. Crystal Palace's record still gives them 33% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%.

The read. Besiktas Istanbul to win. A draw is live. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Besiktas Istanbul the likelier winners; Besiktas Istanbul are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Besiktas Istanbul.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Besiktas Istanbul or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Besiktas Istanbul 2-0 Crystal Palace (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Besiktas Istanbul or Draw (1UP)IN CODES

1.24

BES 3 of 5 (60%) · CRY 6 of 10 (60%)82.4%

Besiktas Istanbul scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace trailed or failed to win in 5 of 5 away

Besiktas Istanbul (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY

1.64

BES 6 of 10 (60%) · CRY 5 of 9 (56%)79.3%

Besiktas Istanbul won 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Crystal Palace lost 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 59% · each game weighed by who it was against · won 7, refunded 1, lost 1

Besiktas Istanbul or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES

1.15

BES 7 of 10 (70%) · CRY 4 of 5 (80%)76.7%

Besiktas Istanbul: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · each game weighed by who it was against

Besiktas Istanbul to Win Either Half: YesPAGE ONLY

1.53

BES 7 of 10 (70%) · CRY 4 of 5 (80%)71.9%

Besiktas Istanbul: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 66% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Besiktas Istanbul 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

1.51

BES 3 of 5 (60%) · CRY 6 of 10 (60%)66.7%

Besiktas Istanbul scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace trailed in 4 of 5 away

1X2 - 2UP: Besiktas IstanbulLEANPAGE ONLY

2.00

BES 3 of 5 (60%) · CRY 6 of 10 (60%)60%

Besiktas Istanbul scored first 3 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 3 · led by 2 or won in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace trailed by 2 or lost in 3 of 5 away

Besiktas Istanbul or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY

1.58

BES 6 of 10 (60%) · CRY 3 of 5 (60%)59.3%

Besiktas Istanbul: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 56% · each game weighed by who it was against

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.09

BES 9 of 10 (90%) · CRY 5 of 5 (100%)87.5%

Besiktas Istanbul: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · each game weighed by who it was against

BESIKTAS ISTANBUL GOALS

Besiktas Istanbul Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.16

BES 7 of 10 (70%) · CRY 4 of 5 (80%)76.7%

Besiktas Istanbul scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · each game weighed by who it was against

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.16

BES 9 of 10 (90%) · CRY 4 of 5 (80%)86.8%

Besiktas Istanbul: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.31

BES 7 of 10 (70%) · CRY 4 of 5 (80%)76.8%

Besiktas Istanbul: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

CORNERS

Over 7.5 CornersIN CODES

1.35

BES 8 of 10 (80%) · CRY 6 of 8 (75%)77.8%

Besiktas Istanbul's games: over 7.5 corners in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Crystal Palace's games: over 7.5 corners in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · each game weighed by who it was against

Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Besiktas Istanbul or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Crystal Palace Over 0.5 goals (Crystal Palace's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Besiktas Istanbul or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–0 7.6%

Besiktas Istanbul goals →

Crystal Palace goals ↓

0-03%

1-06%

2-08%

3-06%

4-04%

5-02%

0-13%

1-18%

2-19%

3-17%

4-14%

5-12%

0-22%

1-25%

2-26%

3-25%

4-23%

5-21%

0-30.9%

1-32%

2-32%

3-32%

4-31%

5-30.5%

0-40.3%

1-40.6%

2-40.7%

3-40.6%

4-40.3%

5-40.2%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

BESIKTAS ISTANBULLLWWWWLWWL1.80 PPG

CRYSTAL PALACELLWWLWDWLL1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

BESIKTAS ISTANBUL HOMExCRYSTAL PALACE AWAY

2.20SCORED A GAME1.801.40CONCEDED A GAME2.0010%CLEAN SHEETS30%12%FAILED TO SCORE43%6.50CORNERS A GAME3.752.20CARDS A GAME1.50

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.88POINTS A GAME1.00+0.75GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.14+4.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-3.71.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.48LEAGUE GAMES7

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

80%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

63%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

61%

NO · 85/90

BESIKTAS ISTANBUL OR DRAW

86%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

CRYSTAL PALACE OR DRAW

25%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

BESIKTAS ISTANBULxCRYSTAL PALACE

5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME1.601.40CONCEDED A GAME2.203.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.8100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.2–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TEAM NEWS

BESIKTAS ISTANBUL

Out: C. Keles (Off the roster), O. Kokcu (Foot Injury), M. Rashica (Muscle Injury), C. Keles (Off the roster), O. Kokcu (Foot Injury), M. Rashica (Muscle Injury)

CRYSTAL PALACE

Out: C. Doucoure (Off the roster), Z. Gozo (Off the roster), E. Guessand (Off the roster), D. Henderson (Foot Injury), J. Lerma (Off the roster), C. Riad (Knee Injury)

TRENDS

Besiktas Istanbul have scored in 70% of their games.

Crystal Palace have scored in 70% of their games.

Besiktas Istanbul kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Crystal Palace kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards