KKS Lech Poznan vs Sunderland AFC
Match details. KKS Lech Poznan host Sunderland AFC at Stadion Miejski, Poznan in the UEFA Europa League, League Stage - 3. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct, 17:45 Lagos time.
What's at stake. KKS Lech Poznan are 36th on 0 points after 2 games, level on points with Celje, and a win would take them above Celje. Sunderland AFC sit 9th on 6 points after 2 games, level with Lyon and Olympiakos Piraeus. A win would take them above Lyon.
Form. KKS Lech Poznan have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, getting 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first, read W L W W L. Sunderland AFC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, collecting 1.3 points a game, with a recent run of L W L L W.
The numbers. At home, KKS Lech Poznan score 2.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five, with one clean sheet. They average 13.9 shots (5.7 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 43% of the ball. Sunderland AFC score 1.4 and concede 2.2 away in their last five, with no clean sheets. They average 14.1 shots (4.1 on target), 10.5 corners and 2.8 cards, with 50% possession.
The case against. KKS Lech Poznan's record still gives them 67% to win.
The read. Sunderland AFC or the draw. A draw is live. An open game. Their goals for and against make KKS Lech Poznan the likelier winners, and KKS Lech Poznan are the stronger side on form and the table. Both teams' records favour KKS Lech Poznan, while their xG points to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: KKS Lech Poznan 2-2 Sunderland AFC (6% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).