Match details. GNK Dinamo Zagreb play NEC Nijmegen in the UEFA Europa League, League Stage - 3. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct at 17:45 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Maksimir, Zagreb, a neutral ground. Manfredas Lukjancukas is the referee.
What's at stake. GNK Dinamo Zagreb are 14th on 4 points after 2 games, level on points with Rennes and 1 point clear of Crystal Palace. A win would take them above Rennes. NEC Nijmegen are 27th on 1 point after 2 games, level on points with Sturm Graz and 1 point clear of Celta Vigo. A win would take them above Sturm Graz.
Team news. GNK Dinamo Zagreb are without A. Stojakovic with a foot injury. R. Mudrazija, I. Nevistic, N. Nsoki, P. Tabinas and F. Topic are off the roster. NEC Nijmegen are without E. Mor with a groin injury, B. Nuytinck with an ankle injury and P. Sandler with an injury. M. Bakker and I. Hansen-Aaroen are off the roster, while Y. Moslih is inactive.
Form. GNK Dinamo Zagreb have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, averaging 2.0 points a game. Their last five read W W L W W, and they have gone W D in this competition. NEC Nijmegen have won one, drawn five and lost four of their last ten, with 0.8 points a game. Their last five read D D D D L, and they have gone D L in this competition.
The numbers. GNK Dinamo Zagreb score 2.3 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. They average 14.3 shots (4.3 on target), 4.5 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. NEC Nijmegen score 1.1 and concede 2.2 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. They average 13.9 shots (4.0 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 57% of the ball.
The read. GNK Dinamo Zagreb to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make GNK Dinamo Zagreb the likelier winners. GNK Dinamo Zagreb are the stronger side on form and the table, while both teams' records favour GNK Dinamo Zagreb. Their xG points to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.
The bets. Best bet: GNK Dinamo Zagreb or Draw at 1.19, 85% on the records (GNK Dinamo Zagreb unbeaten in 8 of 10; NEC Nijmegen failed to win 9 of 10). Backup: GNK Dinamo Zagreb or Both Teams Score at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: NEC Nijmegen Over 0.5 goals (GNK Dinamo Zagreb's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (GNK Dinamo Zagreb are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (GNK Dinamo Zagreb are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: GNK Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 NEC Nijmegen (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Double Chance: GNK Dinamo Zagreb or DrawMAININ CODES
1.14
GNK 8 of 10 (80%) · NEC 9 of 10 (90%)92.5%
GNK Dinamo Zagreb unbeaten in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · NEC Nijmegen failed to win 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · each game weighed by who it was against
GNK Dinamo Zagreb or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GNK 9 of 10 (90%) · NEC 10 of 10 (100%)91.2%
GNK Dinamo Zagreb: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · NEC Nijmegen: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · each game weighed by who it was against
GNK Dinamo Zagreb or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.18
GNK 9 of 10 (90%) · NEC 7 of 10 (70%)90.2%
GNK Dinamo Zagreb: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · NEC Nijmegen: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · each game weighed by who it was against
GNK Dinamo Zagreb or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.10
GNK 5 of 5 (100%) · NEC 9 of 10 (90%)90%
GNK Dinamo Zagreb scored first 5 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · NEC Nijmegen trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 away
GNK Dinamo Zagreb (Draw No Bet)IN CODES
1.19
GNK 6 of 8 (75%) · NEC 4 of 5 (80%)89%
GNK Dinamo Zagreb won 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · NEC Nijmegen lost 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 78% · each game weighed by who it was against · won 10, refunded 7, lost 3
GNK Dinamo Zagreb 1UPIN CODES
1.23
GNK 5 of 5 (100%) · NEC 7 of 10 (70%)83.3%
GNK Dinamo Zagreb scored first 5 of last 5, led in 5 · led in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · NEC Nijmegen trailed in 4 of 5 away
GNK Dinamo Zagreb or Draw & Over 1.5LEANIN CODES
1.34
GNK 5 of 10 (50%) · NEC 9 of 10 (90%)72.5%
GNK Dinamo Zagreb: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · NEC Nijmegen: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · each game weighed by who it was against
GNK Dinamo Zagreb to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.74
GNK 6 of 10 (60%) · NEC 4 of 10 (40%)69%
GNK Dinamo Zagreb won 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · NEC Nijmegen lost 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 51% · each game weighed by who it was against
1X2 - 2UP: GNK Dinamo ZagrebLEANPAGE ONLY
1.58
GNK 4 of 5 (80%) · NEC 6 of 10 (60%)66.7%
GNK Dinamo Zagreb scored first 5 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 4 · led by 2 or won in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · NEC Nijmegen trailed by 2 or lost in 3 of 5 away
GNK Dinamo Zagreb or draw and over 2.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.90
GNK 5 of 10 (50%) · NEC 6 of 10 (60%)59%
GNK Dinamo Zagreb: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · NEC Nijmegen: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 55% · each game weighed by who it was against
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.17
GNK 7 of 10 (70%) · NEC 10 of 10 (100%)92.5%
GNK Dinamo Zagreb: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · NEC Nijmegen: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · each game weighed by who it was against
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES
1.54
GNK 7 of 10 (70%) · NEC 7 of 10 (70%)80.2%
GNK Dinamo Zagreb: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · NEC Nijmegen: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · each game weighed by who it was against
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.62
GNK 5 of 10 (50%) · NEC 7 of 10 (70%)42.1%
GNK Dinamo Zagreb: both scored in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · NEC Nijmegen: both scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 59% · each game weighed by who it was against
GNK DINAMO ZAGREB GOALS
GNK Dinamo Zagreb Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.11
GNK 9 of 10 (90%) · NEC 10 of 10 (100%)91.2%
GNK Dinamo Zagreb scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · NEC Nijmegen conceded in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · each game weighed by who it was against
GNK Dinamo Zagreb Over 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.62
GNK 6 of 10 (60%) · NEC 6 of 10 (60%)67.7%
GNK Dinamo Zagreb scored over 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · NEC Nijmegen conceded over 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · each game weighed by who it was against
NEC NIJMEGEN GOALS
NEC Nijmegen Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.43
GNK 7 of 10 (70%) · NEC 6 of 10 (60%)70.2%
NEC Nijmegen scored under 1.5 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · GNK Dinamo Zagreb conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · each game weighed by who it was against
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.29
GNK 8 of 10 (80%) · NEC 9 of 10 (90%)85.1%
GNK Dinamo Zagreb: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · NEC Nijmegen: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.18
GNK 8 of 10 (80%) · NEC 8 of 10 (80%)80.2%
GNK Dinamo Zagreb: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · NEC Nijmegen: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against
CARDS
Over 1.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GNK 4 of 6 (67%) · NEC 7 of 8 (88%)77.1%
GNK Dinamo Zagreb's games: over 1.5 cards in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · NEC Nijmegen's games: over 1.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · each game weighed by who it was against
Left off the list: NEC Nijmegen Over 0.5 goals (GNK Dinamo Zagreb's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (GNK Dinamo Zagreb are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (GNK Dinamo Zagreb are a clear winner - no Unders)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.2%
GNK Dinamo Zagreb goals →
NEC Nijmegen goals ↓
0-03%
1-06%
2-08%
3-07%
4-05%
5-02%
0-12%
1-18%
2-19%
3-18%
4-15%
5-13%
0-22%
1-24%
2-25%
3-24%
4-23%
5-21%
0-30.5%
1-31%
2-32%
3-32%
4-31%
5-30.5%
0-40.1%
1-40.4%
2-40.5%
3-40.4%
4-40.3%
5-40.1%
0-50.0%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
GNK DINAMO ZAGREBDWWLDWWLWW2.00 PPG
NEC NIJMEGENLWLDLLDDDD0.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
GNK DINAMO ZAGREB HOMExNEC NIJMEGEN AWAY
2.30SCORED A GAME1.101.10CONCEDED A GAME2.2050%CLEAN SHEETS0%0%FAILED TO SCORE11%4.50CORNERS A GAME4.621.67CARDS A GAME1.252.21xG1.461.56xG AGAINST1.71
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.86POINTS A GAME1.11+1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.11+3.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.91.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.87LEAGUE GAMES9
GNK Dinamo Zagreb: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
GNK DINAMO ZAGREB TO SCORE
–
61 OF 64
NO PRICE YET
GNK DINAMO ZAGREB 2:0 HANDICAP
–
61 OF 64
NO PRICE YET
DOUBLE CHANCE: GNK DINAMO ZAGREB OR DRAW
–
58 OF 64
NO PRICE YET
GNK DINAMO ZAGREB 1UP
–
49 OF 55
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
89%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
69%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
89%
OKAY · 85/90
GNK DINAMO ZAGREB OR DRAW
77%
NO · 80/85
NEC NIJMEGEN OR DRAW
40%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
GNK DINAMO ZAGREBxNEC NIJMEGEN
5GAMES52.40SCORED A GAME1.201.80CONCEDED A GAME1.804.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%80%BOTH SCORE80%4.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.68.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.6
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TEAM NEWS
GNK DINAMO ZAGREB
Out: R. Mudrazija (Off the roster), I. Nevistic (Off the roster), N. Nsoki (Off the roster), A. Stojakovic (Foot Injury), P. Tabinas (Off the roster), F. Topic (Off the roster)
NEC NIJMEGEN
Out: M. Bakker (Off the roster), I. Hansen-Aaroen (Off the roster), E. Mor (Groin Injury), Y. Moslih (Inactive), B. Nuytinck (Ankle Injury), P. Sandler (Injury)
TRENDS
GNK Dinamo Zagreb have scored in 90% of their games.
NEC Nijmegen have scored in 70% of their games.
GNK Dinamo Zagreb kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
NEC Nijmegen kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetsleague tableteam newscornerscards