Ferencvarosi Budapest vs SCU Torreense
Match details. Ferencvarosi Budapest host SCU Torreense in the UEFA Europa League, League Stage - 3. Kick-off is Thu 22 Oct at 17:45 Lagos time at Groupama Aréna, Budapest. Jerome Brisard is the referee.
What's at stake. Ferencvarosi Budapest are 7th on 6 points after two games, level on points with Omonia Nicosia and Lyon. A win would take them above Omonia Nicosia. SCU Torreense are 19th on 3 points after two games, level on points with OFI and AZ Alkmaar. A win would take them above OFI.
Team news. Ferencvarosi Budapest are without M. Bero due to a broken leg, while B. Otvos and I. Pappoe have knee injuries. E. Botka is inactive, with B. Nagy and G. Szecsi off the roster. SCU Torreense are missing A. Baradji through injury.
Form. Ferencvarosi Budapest have won eight, drawn two and lost none of their last ten, taking 2.6 points a game. Their last five read W W W W D, and in this competition they have gone W W W W D W. SCU Torreense have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, averaging 0.9 points a game. Their last five were L L W D W, and in this competition they have gone L W.
The numbers. Ferencvarosi Budapest score 2.4 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. They average 11.0 shots (4.9 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 44% of the ball. SCU Torreense score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. They average 6.5 shots (2.0 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 39% of the ball.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game. However, their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.
The read. Ferencvarosi Budapest to win. Their goals for and against make Ferencvarosi Budapest the likelier winners. Ferencvarosi Budapest are the stronger side on form and the table. Both teams' records favour Ferencvarosi Budapest.
The bets. Best bet: Ferencvarosi Budapest or Draw at 1.09, 86% on the records (Ferencvarosi Budapest unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home; SCU Torreense failed to win 4 of 6 away). Backup: Under 5.5 Goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: SCU Torreense Under 1.5 goals (SCU Torreense's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Ferencvarosi Budapest Over 1.5 goals (SCU Torreense's own games don't back it (2 of 6)); 1st Half Result or Match Result: Ferencvarosi Budapest (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Ferencvarosi Budapest 1-0 SCU Torreense (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).