Match details. Primera Nacional, Regular Season - 34. Kick-off is Mon 19 Oct, 19:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Osvaldo Baletto, Dock Sud.
What's at stake. CA San Telmo are 13th on 37 points after 33 games, level on points with Defensores De Belgrano, 1 point clear of Atletico Mitre. A win would take them above Defensores De Belgrano. CA Defensores de Belgrano are 12th on 37 points after 33 games, 3 points behind Racing Cordoba, level on points with San Telmo. A win would take them level on points with Racing Cordoba. CA San Telmo have nothing left to play for. CA Defensores de Belgrano have nothing left to play for.
Form. CA San Telmo have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L W. CA Defensores de Belgrano have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W W.
The numbers. CA San Telmo score one and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. CA San Telmo average 4.0 corners and 2.8 cards a game. CA Defensores de Belgrano score 0.9 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. CA Defensores de Belgrano average 4.8 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings CA San Telmo have won two, drawn four and lost four. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, CA San Telmo won one and CA Defensores de Belgrano won three. The last time they met, on 30 May 2026, it finished CA San Telmo 0-1 CA Defensores de Belgrano.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: CA San Telmo are the stronger side on form and the table, but the meetings favour CA Defensores de Belgrano.
The case against. CA Defensores de Belgrano's record still gives them 43% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. CA San Telmo or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. CA San Telmo are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour CA Defensores de Belgrano. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.09, 76% on the records (CA San Telmo: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10; CA Defensores de Belgrano: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10). Backup: Under 1.5 first-half goals at 1.19. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: CA San Telmo Over 0.5 goals (CA San Telmo's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); CA San Telmo or draw and under 3.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CA San Telmo 1-1 CA Defensores de Belgrano (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).