Spartakos Kitiou FC vs Anagennisi Deryneia
Match details. 2nd Division, Regular Season - 4. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Spartakos Kitiou FC are 8th on 4 points after 3 games, 1 point behind APEA, level on points with Digenis Morphou. A win would take them above APEA. Anagennisi Deryneia are 16th on 0 points after 3 games, 1 point behind MEAP Nisou. A win would take them above MEAP Nisou.
Form. Spartakos Kitiou FC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L W. Anagennisi Deryneia have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D W.
The numbers. Spartakos Kitiou FC score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Spartakos Kitiou FC average 10.8 shots (3.3 on target), 5.5 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Anagennisi Deryneia score 2.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Anagennisi Deryneia average 9.0 shots (3.3 on target), 3.3 corners and 0.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Spartakos Kitiou FC have won two, drawn two and lost two. Four of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Spartakos Kitiou FC won two and Anagennisi Deryneia won two. The last time they met, on 26 Apr 2025, it finished Spartakos Kitiou FC 3-4 Anagennisi Deryneia.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 9% against the records' 50%.
The read. No firm call: Anagennisi Deryneia are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Anagennisi Deryneia the likelier winners; Anagennisi Deryneia are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Anagennisi Deryneia. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%. Four of the last six meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Spartakos Kitiou FC or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Anagennisi Deryneia); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Spartakos Kitiou FC or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Anagennisi Deryneia). Predicted score: Spartakos Kitiou FC 1-2 Anagennisi Deryneia (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).