YRYEL

12:30Sun 18 Oct

KAS

Yellow-Red KV Mechelen vs KAS Eupen

CLASS A

THE READ

Match details. Beker van Belgie, Round of 32. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time. It is played at AFAS Stadion, Malines.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L D. KAS Eupen have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition KAS Eupen have gone W.

The numbers. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen score 1.8 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen average 11.4 shots (3.1 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 47% of the ball. KAS Eupen score 1.3 and concede 0.7 a game in their last seven away, with four clean sheets. KAS Eupen average 14.0 shots (5.3 on target), 6.0 corners and 2.7 cards a game, with 57% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Yellow-Red KV Mechelen have won four, drawn three and lost three. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Yellow-Red KV Mechelen won three and KAS Eupen won one. The last time they met, on 4 Feb 2024, it finished Yellow-Red KV Mechelen 1-0 KAS Eupen: Yellow-Red KV Mechelen had 4 shots to 18, 47% of the ball, one yellow card.

Where it pulls both ways. KAS Eupen are the form side, but the meetings favour Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: in the last ten meetings, Yellow-Red KV Mechelen won four, KAS Eupen won three and three were drawn.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Yellow-Red KV Mechelen or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); KAS Eupen or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Yellow-Red KV Mechelen or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: Yellow-Red KV Mechelen 1-2 KAS Eupen (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.18

YEL 4 of 5 (80%) · KAS 4 of 7 (57%)69.7%

Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · KAS Eupen: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 7 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.56

YEL 4 of 5 (80%) · KAS 3 of 7 (43%)58.2%

Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · KAS Eupen: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 7 away · both last 10: 60% · H2H 3 of 6

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.17

YEL 4 of 5 (80%) · KAS 6 of 7 (86%)82.3%

Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · KAS Eupen: the bet landed in 6 of 7 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

YEL 5 of 8 (62%) · KAS 5 of 6 (83%)72.9%

Yellow-Red KV Mechelen's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · KAS Eupen's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73%

Left off the list: Yellow-Red KV Mechelen or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); KAS Eupen or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Yellow-Red KV Mechelen or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); KAS Eupen or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 9.7%

Yellow-Red KV Mechelen goals →

KAS Eupen goals ↓

0-06%

1-05%

2-04%

3-01%

4-00.4%

5-00.1%

0-18%

1-111%

2-16%

3-13%

4-10.8%

5-10.2%

0-28%

1-210%

2-26%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-35%

1-36%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-42%

1-43%

2-42%

3-40.6%

4-40.2%

5-40.0%

0-50.8%

1-50.9%

2-50.5%

3-50.2%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

YELLOW-RED KV MECHELENDLLDLDLLDW0.70 PPG

KAS EUPENWDLWLWWWWW2.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

YELLOW-RED KV MECHELEN HOMExKAS EUPEN AWAY

1.10SCORED A GAME1.902.20CONCEDED A GAME1.0010%CLEAN SHEETS40%62%FAILED TO SCORE0%4.62CORNERS A GAME6.001.62CARDS A GAME2.67

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

YELLOW-RED KV MECHELEN 4 · 40%DRAW 3KAS EUPEN 3 · 30%

7 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

8 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

5 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

2 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2020-03-07Yellow-Red KV Mechelen 1 – 1 KAS Eupen

2020-12-03Yellow-Red KV Mechelen 1 – 1 KAS Eupen

2021-01-23Yellow-Red KV Mechelen 3 – 0 KAS Eupen

2021-08-07Yellow-Red KV Mechelen 1 – 3 KAS Eupen

2021-12-22Yellow-Red KV Mechelen 1 – 3 KAS Eupen

2022-03-19Yellow-Red KV Mechelen 1 – 1 KAS Eupen

2022-10-22Yellow-Red KV Mechelen 2 – 1 KAS Eupen

2023-02-10Yellow-Red KV Mechelen 1 – 2 KAS Eupen

TRENDS

Yellow-Red KV Mechelen have scored in 40% of their games.

KAS Eupen have scored in 100% of their games.

Yellow-Red KV Mechelen kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

KAS Eupen kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headcornerscards